NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	6.0 [584]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): +26.1%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.3 [514]		LVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): -10.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.12	0.00	6	108%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	17	66%	0.16	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.10	0.03	22	60%	0.23	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	12	59%	0.09	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.09	0.03	26	69%	0.34	4	-0.08	9	100%	0.04
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	9	47%	0.10	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	18	50%	0.04	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	9	27%	-0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.8	32.1	17.7	24.2	3.6	35.3	141.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.8%

NYK -8.5%

LAC +25.0%

NYK -10.0%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	17.8	15.5	15.4	118.6	101.1	104.1
season	15.6	16.2		109.0	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.8	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	15.1	19.3	21.1	17.8
NYK	17.5	16.2	15.0	13.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	33	35	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-6	26	16.8	18.4	-1.55	15.5	15.5	0.01
Jamal Crawford	67	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-3	20	17.3	19.6	-2.28	14.9	17.6	-2.65
Lamar Odom	39	41	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-1	16	18.0	17.7	0.31	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Ryan Hollins	18	18	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-2	18	17.9	17.8	0.18	17.3	15.0	2.30
Grant Hill	28	29	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	4	6	19.5	17.0	2.57	12.9	16.8	-3.97
Caron Butler	22	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	9	-4	14.8	18.8	-4.01	17.6	14.8	2.79
Matt Barnes	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	14	-14	18.4	17.5	0.91	16.2	15.1	1.19
Blake Griffin	68	69	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	16	-18	17.8	17.9	-0.18	15.0	17.3	-2.30
Chauncey Billups	40	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	14	-14	18.2	17.5	0.74	15.2	15.7	-0.50
DeAndre Jordan	29	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	19	-24	18.1	17.6	0.51	17.8	14.4	3.38
Chris Paul	53	52	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	20	-26	18.4	16.8	1.55	15.5	15.5	-0.01

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	53	53	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-23	32	16.5	13.9	2.62	18.8	16.2	2.58
Kurt Thomas	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-12	10	3.0	15.7	-12.65	5.0	18.0	-12.95
Jason Kidd	61	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-11	8	15.0	16.7	-1.75	18.6	16.0	2.58
Pablo Prigioni	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-6	-2	16.8	15.4	1.42	14.1	18.2	-4.12
Carmelo Anthony	77	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-12	10	15.3	17.0	-1.69	18.0	16.0	2.01
Iman Shumpert	40	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-6	-2	16.3	14.9	1.42	17.2	18.3	-1.19
Steve Novak	14	12	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.3	15.4	0.93	16.4	18.0	-1.61
Raymond Felton	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-7	0	15.7	14.5	1.21	18.6	14.4	4.13
Amar'e Stoudemire	47	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.01	-19	5	-24	14.6	16.6	-1.98	16.4	19.5	-3.04
J.R. Smith	63	62	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.10	-18	4	-22	15.2	16.4	-1.26	17.5	18.5	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
CHH 92, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	92.8%
ORL 97, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.8%