NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	118		Excitement	10.1 [50]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +62.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	119		Comeback	14.7 [68]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -47.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.26	-0.07	0.32	-0.01	13	54%	0.43	7	-0.17	9	100%	0.07
Trevor Booker	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.29,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	16	59%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	7	107%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.13	0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	100%	0.29	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	73%	0.21	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.03	14	47%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.62	0.62	0.01	0.61	0.00	9	65%	0.71	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.36	0.36	0.20	0.18	0.02	17	72%	0.37	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.09
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.01	6	68%	0.17	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.10	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	42%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.47	-0.47	-0.09	-0.41	-0.02	18	37%	-0.31	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	30.4	15.6	25.2	2.4	36.4	134.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -32.3%

MIL +27.5%

MIL +33.9%

MIL +18.2%

MIL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.6	121.6	124.0	102.8
season	15.0	14.6		99.5	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		103.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.9	14.5	13.7	14.6	14.9
MIL	13.7	13.2	16.3	16.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	42	43	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.46	21	-22	43	11.8	17.3	-5.42	15.7	14.3	1.42
Kevin Seraphin	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-2	3	16.4	14.4	2.01	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Nick Young	41	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	0	-1	14.9	14.9	-0.05	14.8	15.0	-0.23
Jan Vesely	15	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	7	-15	17.1	14.5	2.55	12.9	15.3	-2.35
JaVale McGee	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	7	-15	14.6	15.1	-0.43	13.3	15.9	-2.57
John Wall	87	86	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-7	13	14.3	19.8	-5.46	15.0	14.1	0.93
Shelvin Mack	10	10	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	6	-13	19.8	14.3	5.46	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Roger Mason Jr.	32	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	15	-31	17.5	13.6	3.82	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Chris Singleton	81	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.74	12	-13	25	14.5	17.1	-2.66	15.8	11.3	4.50
Jordan Crawford	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-1	1	14.9	14.9	0.05	15.0	14.8	0.23
Trevor Booker	61	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	4	-9	15.3	14.2	1.05	15.3	14.4	0.92

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	41	41	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-10	21	14.6	15.2	-0.53	15.5	14.5	1.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	43	45	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	-5	11	15.4	14.5	0.91	15.8	14.1	1.71
Beno Udrih	31	32	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-14	29	15.4	14.7	0.66	18.2	13.3	4.90
Mike Dunleavy	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.49	0	1	-1	15.4	13.9	1.56	14.3	16.3	-2.06
Carlos Delfino	76	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.43	-2	3	-5	15.3	13.5	1.82	15.1	14.2	0.83
Jon Leuer	17	17	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	-3	7	13.9	15.2	-1.21	16.4	14.6	1.75
Shaun Livingston	37	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	3	-5	13.7	15.7	-1.97	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Drew Gooden	49	49	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	4	-7	14.5	15.4	-0.87	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Brandon Jennings	65	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.37	-14	15	-29	14.7	15.4	-0.66	13.3	18.2	-4.90
Ersan Ilyasova	55	56	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	11	-21	15.2	14.6	0.53	14.5	15.5	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.84,0.78,0.69,0.93,0.78,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.69,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	91.3%
CHI 85, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.85,1	90.5%
TOR 103, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.68,0.96,1	90.2%