inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 95 Excitement9.7 [66] MVPKevin Martin (HOU): +50.2%
Houston Rockets 96 Comeback8.7 [101] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -34.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06-0.020.08-0.001359%0.255-0.19367%-0.01
Reggie Jackson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.05-0.00275%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01450%0.0400.004100%0.02
Royal Ivey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.040.01580%0.072-0.1000%0.00
Daequan Cook-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01520%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.0020%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.25-0.07-0.19-0.012548%0.036-0.27475%-0.02
Kevin Durant-0.340,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,-0.340.06-0.41-0.022656%-0.254-0.097100%0.05

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.50.500.220.300.021873%0.531-0.038100%0.13
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.060.00375%0.1100.002100%0.02
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.03-0.03462%0.122-0.0700%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00233%-0.011-0.022100%0.02
Luis Scola0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.021644%-0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.001030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.011246%0.042-0.0900%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06-0.06-0.070.010.00430%0.022-0.0820%-0.03
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.07-0.01617%-0.131-0.0200%0.00
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.02-0.150.021254%-0.023-0.18250%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.51.829.814.827.11.732.9131.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +39.0%
HOU +10.6%
OKC -33.5%
HOU +24.9%
HOU +9.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCHOUNBAOKCHOUNBA
this game14.515.715.699.0101.1102.8
season14.715.4107.9103.5
opponent15.515.8103.2101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.511.416.016.214.5
HOU13.718.616.014.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Royal Ivey19190.11-0.610.72-0.1810-112114.214.5-0.3218.515.03.47
Reggie Jackson20190.06-0.560.62-0.064-5915.114.30.8617.515.22.29
Nazr Mohammed2827-0.05-0.450.40-0.081-2314.914.30.6516.415.41.05
Serge Ibaka4646-0.11-0.390.280.10-76-1314.114.8-0.7315.815.60.30
Nick Collison5755-0.13-0.370.24-0.254-5914.814.00.7515.815.60.21
James Harden6562-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.485-61114.015.5-1.4515.815.50.28
Kendrick Perkins6061-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.410-1114.514.40.0815.416.2-0.80
Kevin Durant7979-0.530.03-0.56-0.36-65-1114.414.8-0.4315.118.9-3.82
Daequan Cook3031-0.560.06-0.62-0.24-1110-2115.414.11.3115.016.0-1.08
Russell Westbrook7676-0.560.06-0.62-0.41-54-914.315.1-0.8615.217.5-2.29

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Samuel Dalembert58590.89-0.391.280.4814-132715.216.5-1.3414.913.81.03
Chandler Parsons70720.53-0.030.560.2310-91915.316.8-1.4514.315.0-0.76
Kyle Lowry72710.490.010.490.413-2515.317.0-1.7214.414.8-0.45
Courtney Lee26260.420.080.330.47-23-516.415.41.0014.314.5-0.17
Patrick Patterson43440.360.140.220.50-56-1117.214.42.7714.014.8-0.78
Goran Dragic24260.310.190.130.37-23-516.315.50.8514.214.6-0.33
Kevin Martin76760.110.39-0.280.023-2515.217.7-2.5514.813.11.67
Chase Budinger1818-0.050.55-0.610.21-910-1918.315.13.1913.914.6-0.65
Jordan Hill2121-0.090.59-0.67-0.0901-116.015.60.3316.713.82.87
Luis Scola6767-0.470.97-1.44-0.26-78-1515.316.6-1.2913.915.8-1.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.46,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.14,0.26,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 102, NOK 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.27,190.8%
PHI 88, DET 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,190.2%
BOS 94, LAL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.28,189.6%