NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	8.1 [188]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +26.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	6.7 [215]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -7.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.27,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	14	57%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.01	18	60%	0.29	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	14	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Greg Stiemsma	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.26	0.26	0.01	0.25	-0.01	20	55%	0.41	5	-0.15	7	71%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	86%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	-0.00	-0.06	8	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.06
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	16	56%	0.20	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.07	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.0	31.6	18.7	30.7	2.8	36.4	150.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.8%

LAL +4.3%

LAL +19.6%

BOS -12.4%

BOS -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.6	103.3	106.6	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		99.4	103.8
opponent	15.1	16.2		103.5	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	15.6	13.9	18.0	15.4
LAL	14.8	15.0	16.7	18.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	6	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	15.7	15.4	0.28	16.4	16.2	0.17
Mickael Pietrus	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.15	-7	4	-11	13.4	16.1	-2.70	13.8	17.1	-3.29
Greg Stiemsma	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	1	-5	15.5	15.4	0.16	15.0	16.8	-1.85
Avery Bradley	15	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	2	-7	18.6	14.8	3.82	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Keyon Dooling	18	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	2	-7	16.8	15.1	1.71	14.1	16.7	-2.61
Ray Allen	71	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-6	9	15.3	15.9	-0.70	16.9	13.4	3.56
Brandon Bass	80	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	15.7	13.0	2.74	16.7	12.5	4.20
Rajon Rondo	76	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-5	7	14.8	18.6	-3.82	16.4	15.6	0.79
Kevin Garnett	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	0	-3	15.3	15.7	-0.43	16.6	15.4	1.16
Paul Pierce	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.58	1	-4	5	15.5	14.9	0.65	16.4	15.5	0.97

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	-1	5	17.2	11.9	5.30	16.0	12.4	3.60
Derek Fisher	48	49	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.50	-3	6	-9	16.5	15.9	0.63	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Pau Gasol	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	4	-5	16.4	15.9	0.50	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Kobe Bryant	79	79	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	3	-3	16.3	16.0	0.28	15.2	16.6	-1.36
Metta World Peace	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.58	-7	10	-17	17.0	14.9	2.04	15.1	16.0	-0.98
Matt Barnes	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	-7	17	14.3	17.5	-3.20	15.3	15.5	-0.12
Troy Murphy	28	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	-6	15	15.4	16.6	-1.28	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Andrew Goudelock	12	12	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	16.0	16.3	-0.28	16.6	15.2	1.36
Steve Blake	43	42	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	-3	9	15.9	16.5	-0.63	15.8	15.1	0.70
Josh McRoberts	6	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	9	-15	11.8	16.6	-4.72	15.5	15.4	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.53,0.21,0.31,0.42,1	91.6%
SEA 102, NOK 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.27,1	91.1%
PHI 88, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	90.6%