NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	3.1 [947]		MVP	James Jones (MIA): +12.8%
Miami Heat	118		Comeback	1.2 [927]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -13.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	5	53%	0.06	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Paul George	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.07	11	50%	0.04	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	0.00	0.06	8	52%	-0.04	2	-0.02	11	91%	0.01
David West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	53%	0.00	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.19	-0.02	-0.07	13	22%	-0.07	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.02	9	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.01	0.08	11	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	-0.01	0.12	21	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	125%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	12	40%	-0.06	6	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	35.4	15.8	30.6	0.8	31.3	141.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +32.3%

MIA +2.3%

IND -6.9%

MIA +19.7%

MIA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.6	85.6	122.9	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		104.2	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		98.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	15.2	15.6	12.7	14.8
MIA	16.0	14.7	15.0	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-36	37	10.4	15.6	-5.22	12.0	15.5	-3.54
David West	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-40	45	16.6	13.7	2.82	16.0	14.4	1.55
Lou Amundson	29	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-30	25	12.4	15.9	-3.44	13.0	15.9	-2.90
Lance Stephenson	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-28	21	13.9	14.9	-1.04	13.8	15.1	-1.37
Darren Collison	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-30	25	17.0	12.8	4.22	15.7	14.4	1.21
Danny Granger	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.51	-26	-9	-17	15.7	13.1	2.58	15.9	13.2	2.66
Roy Hibbert	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.42	-23	-12	-11	16.2	12.4	3.81	15.2	14.6	0.58
Dahntay Jones	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-22	9	12.7	16.0	-3.39	13.7	15.7	-2.04
George Hill	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.56	-29	-6	-23	14.7	14.9	-0.14	15.7	14.5	1.19
Paul George	83	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.53	-30	-5	-25	14.5	16.9	-2.38	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Tyler Hansbrough	63	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.71	-43	8	-51	13.9	16.6	-2.67	15.0	15.1	-0.11

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	22	-9	15.7	14.3	1.38	16.7	12.8	3.87
LeBron James	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.55	31	4	27	15.8	12.8	2.97	15.5	12.9	2.57
Mario Chalmers	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	17	1	14.9	15.2	-0.32	15.5	13.8	1.68
James Jones	48	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	26	-17	14.9	15.1	-0.21	16.9	12.6	4.24
Shane Battier	47	48	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.39	24	11	13	15.7	14.3	1.38	14.1	15.5	-1.34
Chris Bosh	60	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.33	21	14	7	15.1	14.9	0.21	16.6	11.5	5.16
Udonis Haslem	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.51	27	8	19	16.1	14.1	2.06	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Norris Cole	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.56	24	11	13	14.3	15.7	-1.33	12.8	16.7	-3.87
Dexter Pittman	23	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	31	-27	12.5	15.8	-3.29	10.4	16.1	-5.71
Terrel Harris	16	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.07	3	32	-29	13.1	15.4	-2.28	9.7	15.8	-6.15
Juwan Howard	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	34	-33	11.8	15.5	-3.67	9.1	15.6	-6.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
WAS 72, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHI 74, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%