NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	114		Excitement	5.6 [561]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (CHI): +14.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.8 [540]		LVP	Omer Asik (CHI): -13.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	2	117%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.04	14	74%	0.25	4	-0.11	11	91%	0.05
Luol Deng	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	14	58%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.03	0.05	7	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	18	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.06

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	25	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.05
Trey Thompkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	14	52%	0.02	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.7	30.4	16.4	28.9	2.8	33.5	139.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +11.3%

CHI +27.6%

CHI +12.7%

LAC -3.3%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.6	128.1	112.2	102.8
season	16.0	16.2		104.7	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.9		104.5	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	15.0	17.3	16.9	16.1
LAC	15.3	15.0	17.0	17.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	76	79	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-3	19	15.7	17.9	-2.19	16.6	12.7	3.87
Taj Gibson	35	36	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	0	13	16.1	16.0	0.10	16.7	15.7	1.05
Ronnie Brewer	27	29	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-2	17	14.4	16.8	-2.31	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Luol Deng	77	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	4	5	16.1	15.5	0.64	16.3	15.1	1.20
Kyle Korver	17	18	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	-3	19	14.4	16.5	-2.11	18.6	15.5	3.04
Omer Asik	21	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	14	-15	16.6	15.9	0.74	13.8	16.7	-2.96
Joakim Noah	63	65	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	9	-5	16.1	15.9	0.19	16.3	15.7	0.61
Carlos Boozer	56	56	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	13	-13	16.2	15.7	0.52	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Richard Hamilton	58	58	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	13	-13	16.4	15.5	0.93	15.6	17.1	-1.46
CJ Watson	15	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	20	-27	18.9	15.5	3.46	13.9	16.5	-2.54

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	60	61	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-15	17	15.7	17.0	-1.27	16.6	14.9	1.70
DeAndre Jordan	45	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-13	13	15.7	16.6	-0.91	17.5	14.4	3.09
Caron Butler	71	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-11	9	16.3	15.4	0.89	16.2	15.4	0.87
Trey Thompkins	19	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-9	5	16.8	15.9	0.91	11.1	17.3	-6.20
Brian Cook	32	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-7	1	15.3	16.6	-1.30	16.8	15.7	1.15
Blake Griffin	78	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	16.1	16.1	0.04	16.3	14.6	1.69
Chris Paul	83	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	0	-13	16.5	12.1	4.31	15.8	19.1	-3.37
Randy Foye	37	36	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	2	-17	16.1	16.2	-0.12	15.8	16.2	-0.37
Ryan Gomes	25	22	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.05	-18	5	-23	16.9	15.8	1.10	14.5	16.6	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0	94.2%
MIL 106, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.6%
SAS 113, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%