NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	113		Excitement	6.4 [538]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +20.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	1.9 [301]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -14.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.00	15	69%	0.22	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	17	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Danny Green	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	61%	0.07	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.02	5	56%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	19	45%	-0.03	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	24	60%	0.13	3	-0.07	10	60%	-0.06
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	15	66%	0.12	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	3	64%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	10	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	30.5	15.6	27.5	2.0	36.2	141.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +49.3%

LAC -5.0%

SAS +14.8%

LAC -11.8%

SAS +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	13.1	15.1	113.0	104.0	105.2
season	15.0	14.3		109.8	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		104.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.6	14.4	13.9	19.0	15.8
LAC	12.2	14.4	11.8	14.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	79	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-4	18	16.1	14.7	1.40	13.6	11.2	2.38
Boris Diaw	69	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-4	18	16.2	15.1	1.09	12.1	15.1	-2.92
Manu Ginobili	34	32	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	-9	28	15.1	16.2	-1.11	12.0	13.7	-1.69
Patty Mills	56	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	0	10	15.1	16.7	-1.58	14.0	12.0	1.92
Jeff Ayres	30	30	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	8	-6	14.5	16.4	-1.89	14.6	12.4	2.18
Cory Joseph	48	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	13	-16	17.3	14.5	2.83	12.8	13.4	-0.58
Tim Duncan	76	75	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	10	-10	16.7	13.1	3.55	12.5	14.9	-2.38
Aron Baynes	12	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	14.0	16.1	-2.07	16.5	12.6	3.86
Shannon Brown	25	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	12	-14	13.9	16.5	-2.53	14.3	12.7	1.67
Matt Bonner	12	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	9	-8	14.8	16.0	-1.12	15.5	12.7	2.78
Marco Belinelli	59	59	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	18	-26	15.9	15.8	0.11	11.8	15.1	-3.34

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	51	52	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-14	18	11.6	14.7	-3.02	16.7	14.8	1.94
Willie Green	8	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-11	12	17.2	12.7	4.50	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Ryan Hollins	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-9	8	17.9	12.6	5.26	13.9	16.0	-2.11
Chris Paul	78	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-7	4	12.4	15.9	-3.55	16.1	14.7	1.40
DeAndre Jordan	79	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-6	2	13.2	12.6	0.64	16.2	14.4	1.76
Reggie Bullock	10	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-6	2	16.7	12.7	3.99	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Blake Griffin	78	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-6	2	12.5	15.3	-2.82	16.4	13.4	2.96
Jamal Crawford	79	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-7	4	11.9	17.9	-6.00	16.5	13.0	3.48
Hedo Turkoglu	23	23	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	2	-14	15.3	12.4	2.91	12.0	17.0	-5.02
Jared Dudley	39	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	0	-10	14.2	12.4	1.76	13.6	17.2	-3.57
Darren Collison	41	42	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	4	-18	14.6	12.1	2.52	16.3	15.5	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 113, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
CHI 114, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%
BOS 98, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%