inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 102 Excitement10.3 [46] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +85.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 104 Comeback5.2 [198] LVPLamar Odom (DAL): -13.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.660,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.66-0.020.66-0.02844%0.681-0.0320%-0.03
Delonte West0.060,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.011062%0.081-0.024100%0.03
Jason Terry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.040.030.01-0.001747%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.020.00475%0.061-0.04475%-0.01
Brendan Haywood0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00753%0.041-0.0310%-0.02
Sean Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.010.09-0.070.031766%0.294-0.3010100%0.07
Jason Kidd-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01350%0.013-0.0800%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.05-0.021136%-0.001-0.0800%0.00
Lamar Odom-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.001118%-0.1300.0000%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.07,0.08,0.860.860.110.760.021673%1.036-0.18978%0.01
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.050.00868%0.1400.006100%0.06
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.010.100.00462%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.004100%0.121-0.0400%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.02-0.00462%0.082-0.0800%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0-0.000.05-0.030.03962%0.021-0.03850%-0.12
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.14,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03-0.03-0.130.08-0.011544%0.227-0.25667%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.07-0.012100%0.106-0.213100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.52.831.218.830.32.838.8153.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +76.7%
OKC +5.8%
DAL -16.3%
DAL -28.2%
OKC +12.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game15.514.415.6105.2108.3102.8
season15.514.7101.6107.9
opponent15.815.5101.9100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.916.414.817.115.5
OKC12.814.914.515.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter30300.54-1.041.580.453-5817.714.53.2415.413.91.49
Delonte West45470.40-0.901.30-0.1318-203814.516.3-1.8615.413.42.02
Dirk Nowitzki78790.06-0.560.63-0.4919-214014.519.3-4.7215.011.33.74
Sean Williams99-0.20-0.300.100.09-108-1818.215.23.049.914.8-4.95
Shawn Marion6463-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.37-1-1015.116.2-1.1314.214.6-0.40
Jason Kidd7372-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.37-20-214.717.8-3.1513.915.7-1.72
Ian Mahinmi3838-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-1412-2617.714.03.6914.514.30.25
Lamar Odom3734-0.45-0.05-0.400.08-1816-3416.514.81.7012.115.6-3.45
Brendan Haywood4847-0.600.10-0.70-1.0716-183413.417.5-4.0515.613.22.35
Jason Terry6361-0.990.49-1.48-0.37-2119-4016.713.13.6613.815.5-1.70

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden67680.94-0.441.370.2922-204214.115.0-0.9416.612.83.76
Kevin Durant83820.53-0.030.570.337-51214.414.20.2615.415.9-0.48
Nick Collison43440.500.000.500.0316-143013.415.2-1.7717.114.12.94
Thabo Sefolosha30310.350.150.210.91-1921-4014.514.30.2312.317.0-4.66
Eric Maynor32340.310.190.120.107-51213.814.7-0.8917.014.62.41
Daequan Cook21230.300.200.100.155-3813.514.6-1.0916.515.11.33
Russell Westbrook64630.190.31-0.120.34-57-1214.713.80.8914.617.0-2.41
Nazr Mohammed10110.000.50-0.490.0002-215.114.30.8116.515.31.12
Kendrick Perkins5656-0.070.57-0.630.40-1618-3415.213.21.9714.117.3-3.25
Serge Ibaka7473-0.561.06-1.61-0.35-79-1614.613.51.0815.515.50.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.25,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.36,0.71,0.85,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 96, NOP 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.92,190.5%
PHI 103, NYK 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.91,0.95,190.1%
MIA 107, DET 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.66,0.32,0.63,0.84,0.96,190.1%