NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	6.2 [459]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (POR): +14.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.1 [817]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -13.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	17	66%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.02	0.11	-0.06	0.07	14	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	53%	0.06	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Evan Turner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	11	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	10	54%	-0.01	6	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	10	60%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	14	47%	0.05	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	25	46%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	13	68%	0.15	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	14	35%	-0.08	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	30.2	15.7	25.3	2.6	43.0	141.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +15.5%

PHI -1.0%

POR +8.1%

POR +21.0%

POR +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	14.2	15.6	102.0	104.9	102.8
season	15.6	15.7		101.0	104.1
opponent	15.4	16.1		104.7	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.9	14.8	14.9	11.3	14.2
POR	14.4	14.6	15.7	12.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis Williams	61	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-6	8	13.7	15.0	-1.25	12.9	16.2	-3.31
Jodie Meeks	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	1	-6	14.1	14.3	-0.21	13.9	14.3	-0.41
Evan Turner	55	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-5	6	14.0	14.5	-0.52	15.0	13.1	1.91
Thaddeus Young	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-11	18	13.8	15.0	-1.19	13.5	15.3	-1.79
Spencer Hawes	83	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.48	7	-11	18	13.5	17.7	-4.20	14.5	12.4	2.16
Andre Iguodala	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	1	-6	14.3	13.8	0.54	14.2	13.8	0.46
Jrue Holiday	74	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	2	-8	14.8	12.7	2.02	14.4	13.4	0.99
Elton Brand	55	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	17	-38	15.9	12.3	3.59	14.6	13.7	0.93

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	69	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-7	18	14.6	13.2	1.35	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Wesley Matthews	86	86	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-4	12	14.2	14.1	0.11	14.4	13.4	0.96
LaMarcus Aldridge	87	86	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-5	14	14.2	13.9	0.26	14.5	12.6	1.90
Raymond Felton	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	-2	8	14.5	13.3	1.24	14.6	13.3	1.38
Marcus Camby	59	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	1	2	15.1	12.8	2.28	15.0	13.2	1.84
Nicolas Batum	48	47	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	9	-14	12.4	15.7	-3.29	13.4	15.0	-1.60
Jamal Crawford	47	48	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	2	0	13.5	14.7	-1.20	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Kurt Thomas	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	6	-8	13.6	14.4	-0.78	14.1	14.3	-0.12
Chris Johnson	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	9	-14	16.7	14.1	2.70	10.7	14.4	-3.61
Nolan Smith	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	11	-18	14.4	14.1	0.24	9.6	14.6	-4.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 106, CHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NJN 97, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.91,1	94.2%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.1%