NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	7.5 [318]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +5.7%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	1.1 [1102]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -25.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	19	48%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	16	47%	0.06	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	15	45%	-0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15	0.01	-0.10	0.06	15	56%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.07
Todd MacCulloch	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	8	35%	-0.11	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	16	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	22	52%	0.05	1	-0.04	12	92%	0.06
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	54%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	18	37%	-0.18	2	-0.08	12	33%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.4	26.7	15.4	23.6	2.4	39.5	130.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +7.9%

SAC +21.5%

SAC +7.7%

SAC +10.5%

SAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	12.9	14.6	15.6	92.4	93.3	102.3
season	14.7	14.2		101.4	106.6
opponent	15.5	16.0		99.6	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.3	13.3	14.1	10.9	12.9
SAC	14.4	14.3	15.3	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	11	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-3	5	12.8	12.9	-0.05	14.0	14.6	-0.63
Aaron Williams	30	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-2	3	12.6	13.0	-0.33	14.2	14.7	-0.43
Derrick Dial	16	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-2	3	14.5	12.6	1.93	13.1	14.9	-1.79
Lucious Harris	56	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-6	11	11.8	14.0	-2.20	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Todd MacCulloch	74	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	3	-7	13.0	12.5	0.59	14.9	13.8	1.11
Kenyon Martin	68	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	7	-15	13.6	11.6	1.96	14.7	14.4	0.31
Jason Kidd	92	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-1	1	12.6	14.7	-2.08	14.8	13.3	1.51
Kerry Kittles	88	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	12.9	12.5	0.40	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Keith Van Horn	90	90	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	3	-7	12.8	13.1	-0.23	14.6	14.2	0.42

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	99	99	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-6	13	14.6	13.2	1.48	12.8	13.2	-0.32
Doug Christie	92	90	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-4	9	14.1	18.2	-4.10	13.2	10.9	2.33
Vlade Divac	95	94	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-6	13	14.5	15.1	-0.59	13.1	10.9	2.19
Bobby Jackson	57	59	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.50	0	1	-1	14.5	14.6	-0.08	12.2	13.7	-1.48
Hedo Turkoglu	43	42	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.40	-4	5	-9	14.1	14.9	-0.72	12.9	12.9	0.02
Scot Pollard	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-4	9	14.8	14.2	0.57	13.5	12.0	1.49
Mike Bibby	72	72	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.33	-10	11	-21	15.1	13.4	1.70	12.2	14.2	-1.96
Lawrence Funderburke	10	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	6	-11	15.6	14.5	1.15	12.3	12.9	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 103, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.2%
SAC 75, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
ATL 76, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.7%