inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 89 Excitement4.1 [1051] MVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): +11.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 111 Comeback1.7 [850] LVPChris Paul (NOH): -18.3%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.030.011269%0.083-0.0620%-0.06
Carl Landry0.010,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.02858%0.031-0.023100%0.02
Quincy Pondexter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03337%0.0010.00250%0.00
DJ Mbenga0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02362%0.0000.00250%0.00
Patrick Ewing Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02330%0.0000.00475%0.00
Willie Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.02-0.03955%0.054-0.07250%0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.000.07753%-0.0200.005100%0.01
Trevor Ariza-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.020.011150%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Gray-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00647%-0.002-0.06333%-0.03
Chris Paul-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.15-0.03-0.0060%-0.142-0.0520%-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.01-0.031264%0.141-0.034100%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00867%0.081-0.01580%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.020.02780%0.133-0.076100%0.03
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01375%0.0610.00683%0.01
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.10-0.000.075100%0.072-0.05333%-0.02
Sam Young0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01770%0.083-0.07667%-0.01
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02531%0.0000.0030%-0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.010.04383%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02757%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.726.015.727.32.431.9128.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +33.1%
MEM +15.4%
MEM +1.7%
NOH -2.9%
MEM +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMEMNBANOHMEMNBA
this game16.515.115.597.8122.0105.7
season16.215.5104.6106.1
opponent15.515.9103.7104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH14.516.916.718.416.5
MEM14.315.815.315.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DJ Mbenga14140.00-0.500.50-0.124-263017.716.31.3813.915.3-1.38
Patrick Ewing Jr.11110.00-0.500.50-0.062-242617.716.41.3413.515.3-1.77
Quincy Pondexter2324-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-263017.116.40.7816.114.71.34
Jarrett Jack3636-0.10-0.400.300.19-10-12217.915.62.3115.614.80.85
Carl Landry3840-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-191615.317.4-2.1215.315.00.31
Marco Belinelli5455-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-212015.617.9-2.2614.516.0-1.49
Jason Smith3534-0.19-0.310.120.22-14-8-617.316.11.2016.014.61.39
Aaron Gray2828-0.31-0.19-0.120.30-21-1-2017.816.01.8414.815.2-0.40
Emeka Okafor5655-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.02-12-10-215.817.8-2.0315.215.00.21
Chris Paul5656-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.02-12-10-215.817.8-2.0314.915.4-0.49
Willie Green3635-0.40-0.10-0.290.22-21-1-2017.715.81.9915.814.71.14
Trevor Ariza6867-0.49-0.01-0.480.27-264-3016.417.1-0.7814.716.1-1.34

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol56560.370.130.250.021210214.915.4-0.4915.817.8-2.03
Zach Randolph49490.320.180.150.06913-414.815.5-0.7015.917.3-1.41
Mike Conley52500.320.180.13-0.011111014.515.9-1.4015.517.8-2.33
Shane Battier37380.300.200.10-0.292021815.414.90.4717.415.91.45
O.J. Mayo47480.300.200.10-0.201751215.215.00.1917.415.71.70
Tony Allen44430.200.30-0.100.05517-1215.015.2-0.1915.717.4-1.70
Sam Young44430.200.30-0.100.05517-1215.015.2-0.1915.717.4-1.70
Greivis Vasquez39410.180.32-0.13-0.141111015.914.51.4017.815.52.33
Darrell Arthur28280.180.32-0.15-0.321751216.214.61.6617.116.30.81
Hamed Haddadi35350.130.37-0.25-0.171012-215.414.90.4917.815.82.03
Leon Powe14140.000.50-0.500.12-426-3013.915.3-1.3817.716.31.38
Ish Smith10100.000.50-0.500.09-325-2814.515.2-0.6717.216.50.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 83, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
LAC 81, SEA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
WAS 90, SAS 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%