inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 77 Excitement3.9 [1082] MVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (MIA): +6.3%
Miami Heat 100 Comeback1.9 [901] LVPMike Bibby (MIA): -7.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.010.001562%0.072-0.02450%-0.03
Jeff Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00167%0.0300.004100%0.02
Paul Pierce0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.12-0.010.081477%0.094-0.073100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.02-0.06839%0.043-0.04250%-0.01
Nenad Krstic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ray Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05962%0.032-0.053100%0.03
Glen Davis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031127%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Delonte West-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.041-0.0100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.01862%0.072-0.04560%-0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.033100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00558%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.04-0.00-0.06853%0.073-0.051100%0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.000.041100%0.031-0.02367%-0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.020.051957%0.074-0.07956%-0.03
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.001247%0.033-0.066100%0.03
Mike Bibby0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.041030%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.843.217.028.02.632.2153.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +19.9%
MIA +2.4%
MIA +28.2%
BOS -2.2%
MIA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game16.216.915.588.5114.9105.7
season15.716.0104.8109.0
opponent15.615.8102.399.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS17.715.313.718.416.2
MIA13.816.719.018.616.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo330.00-0.500.500.12-4-191521.316.05.3221.316.74.58
Sasha Pavlovic330.00-0.500.500.12-4-191521.316.05.3221.316.74.58
Troy Murphy330.00-0.500.500.12-4-191521.316.05.3221.316.74.58
Nenad Krstic1719-0.18-0.320.130.32-17-6-1119.215.53.7817.816.71.13
Jermaine O'Neal2528-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-171115.016.7-1.7316.817.0-0.18
Paul Pierce6566-0.22-0.280.07-0.19-1-222115.717.6-1.8716.418.4-2.00
Kevin Garnett6765-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-191515.319.3-4.1016.817.2-0.37
Glen Davis4644-0.28-0.22-0.070.19-16-7-917.015.21.8016.317.6-1.29
Ray Allen7272-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-12-11-115.917.5-1.5416.618.5-1.96
Rajon Rondo7069-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.11-7-16915.319.8-4.4416.518.4-1.94
Jeff Green3433-0.33-0.17-0.150.11-15-8-716.116.2-0.1317.716.41.27
Delonte West3030-0.37-0.13-0.240.36-252-2718.515.03.5718.216.21.97

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Anthony64650.460.040.43-0.152121916.617.7-1.0116.515.31.23
LeBron James69700.400.100.29-0.3124-12516.219.6-3.3416.315.70.61
Dwyane Wade70710.340.160.180.10815-716.618.3-1.7215.320.2-4.97
Chris Bosh59590.330.170.160.011112-117.515.61.9215.417.8-2.40
Mario Chalmers34350.290.210.08-0.12149518.116.21.9417.215.51.68
Mike Bibby57560.240.26-0.01-0.111211116.617.4-0.8015.717.1-1.35
James Jones24230.180.32-0.14-0.08914-518.516.32.1417.815.62.22
Mike Miller14130.150.35-0.20-0.03617-1115.617.2-1.5916.616.10.49
Juwan Howard21220.070.43-0.36-0.16815-716.517.0-0.5117.815.62.17
Zydrunas Ilgauskas21190.040.46-0.430.04023-2317.116.80.2515.116.5-1.39
Jamaal Magloire220.000.50-0.50-0.06221-1923.516.86.7524.016.07.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 107, DEN 1210.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
LAL 102, DET 1210.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
NOH 88, LAL 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%