NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	88		Excitement	3.8 [1043]		MVP	Gary Payton (LAL): +12.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	2.4 [766]		LVP	David Wesley (NOH): -8.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	62%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Maurice Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	6	72%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	3	71%	0.01	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	14	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	62%	0.04	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	10	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.02	14	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	9	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	17	57%	0.11	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	15	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.7	25.3	16.4	31.0	1.8	27.0	132.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +60.1%

NOH -14.9%

NOH -5.3%

LAL +4.7%

LAL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAL	NBA	NOH	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.7	93.6	113.8	100.5
season	16.0	15.4		99.3	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	12.7	14.8	20.8	15.1	15.6
LAL	14.4	13.4	14.2	18.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Carter	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	16.3	15.6	0.72	17.4	14.8	2.57
Stacey Augmon	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-18	17	15.6	15.7	-0.11	14.5	15.6	-1.11
David Wesley	65	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-15	11	14.8	17.6	-2.80	15.2	14.6	0.68
Shammond Williams	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-13	7	15.0	16.0	-1.01	16.8	14.0	2.77
P.J. Brown	60	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-20	21	14.9	16.8	-1.89	15.6	14.0	1.58
David West	36	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-7	-5	14.2	16.5	-2.35	14.7	15.2	-0.57
Jamaal Magloire	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-7	-5	16.2	14.3	1.89	14.6	15.9	-1.22
Robert Traylor	24	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-5	-9	17.3	15.0	2.25	14.2	15.3	-1.15
Darrell Armstrong	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	-6	-7	16.0	15.0	1.01	14.0	16.8	-2.77
Steven Smith	25	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-4	-11	18.3	14.7	3.63	14.6	15.2	-0.53
George Lynch	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-1	-17	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.6	14.5	1.11

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	8	3	15.4	13.6	1.81	16.0	14.1	1.86
Derek Fisher	45	45	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.21	20	-1	21	14.8	15.2	-0.34	15.3	15.9	-0.54
Kobe Bryant	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	7	5	14.3	17.0	-2.66	15.7	15.3	0.40
Slava Medvedenko	31	32	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	3	13	14.3	15.4	-1.04	15.4	15.7	-0.27
Devean George	48	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	6	7	14.9	15.2	-0.26	14.7	16.6	-1.93
Gary Payton	68	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	13	-7	15.9	12.7	3.17	15.8	15.0	0.88
Karl Malone	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	7	5	13.7	17.1	-3.40	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Rick Fox	43	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	14	-9	14.6	15.4	-0.73	16.3	15.0	1.29
Brian Cook	22	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	20	-21	18.3	14.0	4.30	15.1	15.8	-0.67
Luke Walton	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	17.4	14.8	2.57	16.3	15.6	0.72
Bryon Russell	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	14.2	15.1	-0.87	13.0	15.7	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, MIL 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
POR 88, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 77, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%