inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 118 Excitement2.5 [1252] MVPToney Douglas (NYK): +18.2%
New York Knicks 131 Comeback1.0 [1248] LVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): -6.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ed Davis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.000.071469%0.042-0.01450%-0.01
Amir Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sonny Weems0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.021158%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Alexis Ajinca0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04480%0.011-0.012100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.100.000.112755%-0.001-0.011275%-0.01
Julian Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00217%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jerryd Bayless-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.000.051551%-0.012-0.03786%0.01
James Johnson-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01850%-0.013-0.04475%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0240%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.270.010.091580%0.1800.00540%-0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.00-0.001577%0.134-0.0300%0.00
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01570%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.032100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.061362%0.052-0.021182%-0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00859%0.042-0.026100%0.02
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05278%0.0100.00560%-0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.02571%0.022-0.02475%-0.00
Ronny Turiaf00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Henry Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01847%-0.001-0.001100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.43.529.515.823.22.532.6135.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +52.5%
NYK +0.7%
TOR -3.4%
TOR -0.3%
NYK +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNYKNBATORNYKNBA
this game16.212.815.5119.2131.0105.7
season15.114.3104.7108.6
opponent15.515.5108.4111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.418.718.014.516.2
NYK11.712.114.113.212.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julian Wright3433-0.01-0.490.48-0.279-223115.516.6-1.1312.013.1-1.12
Alexis Ajinca2626-0.02-0.480.45-0.144-172114.516.8-2.3713.212.60.65
Ed Davis8283-0.17-0.330.16-0.356-192515.519.8-4.2912.812.50.34
Reggie Evans4141-0.20-0.300.09-0.200-131316.715.90.7612.612.8-0.24
Amir Johnson3233-0.27-0.23-0.050.22-174-2117.115.81.2612.512.9-0.31
Sonny Weems6668-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.06-8-5-315.317.9-2.5912.513.2-0.74
Jerryd Bayless6265-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.05-9-4-517.314.42.8813.012.30.76
Andrea Bargnani1716-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-196-2519.815.54.2912.212.8-0.60
DeMar DeRozan8383-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.11-10-3-715.818.2-2.4313.011.71.26
James Johnson5252-0.47-0.03-0.450.14-218-2917.115.21.9412.912.60.36

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amar'e Stoudemire72720.320.180.150.1276112.613.2-0.6917.512.74.77
Anthony Carter36350.290.210.08-0.1214-11512.213.1-0.9116.416.10.33
Toney Douglas56540.280.220.070.0294513.012.50.4914.917.8-2.91
Shawne Williams41390.260.240.02-0.0094513.212.40.8414.017.6-3.65
Henry Walker51500.260.240.020.0867-112.812.70.0714.917.5-2.57
Landry Fields47480.230.27-0.030.0376112.612.9-0.3317.215.22.01
Chauncey Billups52520.230.27-0.050.14310-713.012.50.4417.215.12.06
Carmelo Anthony58580.210.29-0.080.21013-1312.812.60.1816.715.61.11
Jared Jeffries26270.210.29-0.090.0076112.312.9-0.5517.715.72.05
Shelden Williams27260.160.34-0.17-0.0167-113.312.60.7014.616.8-2.22
Ronny Turiaf13130.030.47-0.440.00112-1111.013.0-2.0117.816.01.88
Derrick Brown21210.020.48-0.460.13-417-2113.412.60.8015.016.6-1.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 89, LAL 1090.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
UTA 102, DAL 1200.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
TOR 109, WAS 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%