NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	2.6 [1255]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +12.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	1.0 [1286]		LVP	Tim Thomas (PHX): -6.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	23	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	61%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	57%	0.04	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	12	23%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	0.01	28	54%	0.14	1	-0.01	23	87%	0.02
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	9	57%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	38%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	16	42%	0.03	4	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	36.1	16.7	26.4	2.8	30.5	140.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +23.2%

LAL +10.9%

LAL +13.3%

LAL +0.7%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.3	15.6	89.0	107.9	104.4
season	13.8	15.6		110.2	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	14.5	13.3	17.2	14.3
LAL	11.4	14.9	14.4	17.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	31	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.05	-3	-17	14	15.9	13.6	2.36	15.5	13.8	1.69
Pat Burke	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-7	-6	13.3	14.5	-1.15	19.1	13.5	5.62
Eddie House	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	-5	-10	15.7	13.3	2.35	16.4	12.8	3.57
Brian Grant	39	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	-7	-6	15.0	13.9	1.17	13.3	15.0	-1.65
James Jones	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-10	0	14.8	13.0	1.77	15.0	12.7	2.28
Shawn Marion	81	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-13	6	14.4	13.9	0.45	13.2	19.0	-5.86
Boris Diaw	88	90	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	-10	0	13.7	18.6	-4.86	14.2	15.4	-1.14
Tim Thomas	50	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-3	-14	13.3	15.3	-2.06	13.8	14.9	-1.16
Leandro Barbosa	81	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-8	-4	13.6	17.5	-3.97	13.5	18.2	-4.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	6	8	13.5	16.2	-2.79	13.3	16.6	-3.22
Lamar Odom	86	86	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	8	4	14.1	15.9	-1.86	14.4	13.6	0.78
Kobe Bryant	85	84	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	11	-2	13.2	20.2	-7.01	14.3	14.4	-0.15
Devean George	28	29	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	6	8	16.9	13.4	3.47	17.3	13.1	4.27
Brian Cook	27	27	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.16	14	6	8	17.6	13.2	4.43	17.3	13.2	4.04
Kwame Brown	61	60	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	16	-12	12.7	16.9	-4.27	13.2	16.0	-2.86
Luke Walton	63	61	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	11	-2	13.4	15.9	-2.48	13.0	16.4	-3.36
Sasha Vujacic	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.22	14	6	8	18.1	13.0	5.14	16.7	13.4	3.33
Aaron McKie	24	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	14	-8	16.9	13.5	3.37	14.5	14.3	0.19
Jim Jackson	22	21	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	18	-16	14.5	14.3	0.25	13.5	14.5	-1.00
Ronny Turiaf	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	22	-24	13.7	14.4	-0.65	14.2	14.3	-0.07
Andrew Bynum	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	16	-12	18.4	14.1	4.26	12.2	14.4	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 118, NYK 131	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SAC 98, UTA 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHI 99, WAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%