NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	7.2 [386]		MVP	Deron Williams (NJN): +34.3%
New Jersey Nets	107		Comeback	1.1 [1074]		LVP	Anthony Randolph (MIN): -34.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.15,0.25	0.10	0.16	0.00	8	67%	0.25	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Martell Webster	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	7	89%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	17	50%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.07	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	58%	0.06	4	-0.14	1	0%	-0.02
Jonny Flynn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Randolph	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.35	-0.07	-0.26	0.01	16	51%	-0.00	6	-0.35	7	57%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.34	0.34	0.00	0.33	-0.00	15	49%	0.38	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.01	7	86%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	15	39%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.10	0.02	23	59%	0.18	2	-0.19	5	80%	0.04
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	29.3	15.4	26.3	1.5	38.4	137.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +23.6%

NJN +3.3%

MIN -11.7%

NJN +29.8%

NJN +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NJN	NBA	MIN	NJN	NBA
this game	13.9	16.4	15.5	110.5	112.6	105.7
season	14.3	16.4		102.7	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		108.5	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.3	12.7	14.7	12.2	13.9
NJN	15.7	16.8	16.6	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonny Flynn	24	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-2	2	15.6	13.3	2.26	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Martell Webster	49	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-12	22	13.6	14.2	-0.67	16.6	16.3	0.29
Nikola Pekovic	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	13.7	14.0	-0.33	17.5	15.8	1.64
Anthony Tolliver	61	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.45	7	-9	16	13.3	14.9	-1.54	16.0	17.1	-1.14
Wayne Ellington	52	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	8	-18	14.4	13.3	1.17	16.4	16.4	-0.04
Wesley Johnson	40	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.01	-12	10	-22	14.6	13.4	1.17	17.0	15.9	1.12
Anthony Randolph	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	14.0	13.7	0.33	15.8	17.5	-1.64
Luke Ridnour	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	0	-2	13.3	15.6	-2.26	16.4	16.4	0.03
Michael Beasley	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-1	0	13.8	14.3	-0.50	16.3	17.0	-0.66

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	83	82	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	-1	4	16.6	15.4	1.15	14.2	12.2	1.93
Brook Lopez	74	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	-3	8	16.8	15.0	1.76	14.1	13.3	0.72
Sasha Vujacic	74	77	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	1	0	16.3	16.8	-0.44	13.7	14.9	-1.23
Jordan Farmar	38	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	1	0	16.1	16.6	-0.57	12.7	14.6	-1.82
Stephen Graham	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	-1	4	16.9	16.2	0.75	14.4	13.6	0.72
Brandan Wright	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	-4	10	16.6	16.3	0.28	13.9	13.9	-0.05
Travis Outlaw	60	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	6	-10	16.5	16.3	0.26	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Mario West	57	58	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	4	-6	16.3	16.6	-0.35	14.3	13.3	0.93
Dan Gadzuric	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	3	-4	15.4	16.5	-1.14	13.6	13.9	-0.37
Johan Petro	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	4	-6	13.5	16.8	-3.35	15.2	13.7	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIL 101, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	94.9%
UTA 80, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.7%