NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	4.2 [1018]		MVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): +11.7%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	1.4 [1001]		LVP	CJ Miles (UTA): -11.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.05	14	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	13	66%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Weaver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.01	0.10	11	79%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
CJ Miles	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	0.00	-0.02	13	23%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	12	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	16	71%	0.18	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	16	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	53%	0.07	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	25.9	15.8	22.4	2.3	27.3	123.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +43.7%

SAC +8.2%

UTA -1.8%

SAC +1.9%

UTA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.9	14.4	15.5	105.4	115.2	105.7
season	15.9	14.9		106.4	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.3		107.7	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.2	17.2	17.9	16.3	16.9
SAC	11.9	14.1	14.2	18.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-20	31	16.4	17.1	-0.63	17.2	13.2	4.00
Paul Millsap	67	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-12	15	16.7	17.2	-0.45	14.5	14.2	0.36
Kyrylo Fesenko	12	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	1	-11	19.9	16.4	3.50	9.4	15.1	-5.76
Al Jefferson	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	16.8	17.0	-0.16	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Francisco Elson	13	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	2	-13	16.5	16.9	-0.39	10.8	15.0	-4.27
Kyle Weaver	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-10	11	16.7	17.2	-0.49	13.9	15.3	-1.37
Derrick Favors	34	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	17.0	16.8	0.16	14.8	14.2	0.59
Gordon Hayward	75	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-9	9	16.6	18.0	-1.39	15.6	8.9	6.65
CJ Miles	46	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	5	-19	17.2	16.6	0.57	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Earl Watson	69	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	7	-23	16.9	16.7	0.29	14.1	15.6	-1.52

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	80	80	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-4	17	14.9	11.6	3.28	17.2	14.6	2.63
Darnell Jackson	22	22	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	-4	17	11.4	15.4	-4.04	18.3	16.4	1.90
DeMarcus Cousins	70	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	6	-3	15.6	10.9	4.69	16.7	17.5	-0.87
Francisco Garcia	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	3	3	13.7	15.5	-1.77	17.1	16.5	0.67
Donte Greene	15	14	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	-1	11	13.1	14.7	-1.55	18.4	16.6	1.84
Samuel Dalembert	59	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	9	-9	15.0	13.5	1.53	16.4	17.7	-1.33
Tyreke Evans	71	72	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.24	-1	10	-11	14.3	14.9	-0.55	16.4	18.4	-2.02
Beno Udrih	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	10	-11	15.0	13.5	1.54	16.3	17.8	-1.49
Jason Thompson	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	7	-5	13.1	15.2	-2.05	17.2	16.7	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
BKN 95, BOS 116	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
BKN 79, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%