NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	5.2 [805]		MVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): +19.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	91		Comeback	1.6 [448]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (CHA): -17.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	20	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	19	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	11	44%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	16	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	60%	0.11	6	-0.13	6	67%	0.01
Othyus Jeffers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.04	0.02	16	76%	0.23	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.03	16	51%	0.01	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	25.4	15.0	27.4	2.3	33.4	132.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.4%

CHA -5.0%

WAS +22.5%

WAS +6.2%

WAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.8	15.5	102.1	95.8	105.7
season	15.1	16.2		100.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	13.7	14.2	15.9	14.6
CHA	18.0	14.0	15.2	16.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	82	81	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-9	24	14.3	16.0	-1.67	16.1	13.8	2.31
Jordan Crawford	80	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-2	10	14.7	13.9	0.82	16.2	13.0	3.23
Andray Blatche	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-2	10	14.7	14.1	0.66	16.0	15.0	1.03
JaVale McGee	67	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-4	14	15.0	13.4	1.60	16.3	14.3	1.94
Maurice Evans	84	85	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	8	-10	14.8	12.5	2.28	15.4	19.2	-3.85
Cartier Martin	6	5	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	13.3	14.6	-1.31	11.8	16.0	-4.18
Kevin Seraphin	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	13.9	14.8	-0.88	14.3	16.3	-1.94
Yi Jianlian	26	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	8	-10	14.1	14.7	-0.66	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Othyus Jeffers	34	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	12	-18	13.9	14.9	-0.96	15.4	16.0	-0.56

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	19	19	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-10	14	14.1	16.2	-2.07	14.4	14.6	-0.24
DJ White	39	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-3	0	15.2	16.1	-0.94	13.3	15.6	-2.28
Matt Carroll	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.32	8	-14	22	14.8	16.8	-1.98	15.1	13.9	1.19
Dominic McGuire	62	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.37	9	-15	24	14.9	17.5	-2.60	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Kwame Brown	67	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-6	6	15.2	17.1	-1.86	15.2	13.2	2.03
Dante Cunningham	51	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	6	-18	17.1	14.2	2.98	14.6	14.5	0.11
Gerald Henderson	58	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	2	-10	16.2	15.1	1.11	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Boris Diaw	53	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	12	-30	17.0	14.2	2.81	14.4	14.7	-0.32
D.J. Augustin	76	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.28	-10	4	-14	16.2	14.1	2.07	14.6	14.4	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, OKC 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
SAC 100, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.09,0,0	94.3%
DET 103, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0	94.2%