NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	5.3 [781]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (SAC): +15.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	1.4 [128]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -15.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	12	67%	0.17	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.03	0.02	19	61%	0.14	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	13	45%	0.09	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	14	67%	0.13	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Jermaine Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.02	11	77%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	27	58%	0.11	4	-0.08	12	83%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	11	37%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.8	16.6	24.6	2.5	41.8	142.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +49.4%

SAC +1.5%

SAC +10.3%

LAL -12.6%

SAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	111.1	104.4	105.7
season	14.9	15.9		102.1	108.8
opponent	15.5	14.9		103.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.7	16.4	16.1	16.6	16.4
LAL	14.0	16.4	16.6	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	59	60	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.08	21	-16	37	15.6	18.1	-2.47	16.7	12.9	3.76
Beno Udrih	74	74	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-5	15	16.0	18.3	-2.27	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Tyreke Evans	59	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-3	11	16.3	16.8	-0.55	16.6	13.1	3.52
Omri Casspi	76	78	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	3	-1	16.3	17.1	-0.83	15.5	14.5	1.08
Samuel Dalembert	52	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	4	-3	16.2	16.7	-0.51	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Carl Landry	61	60	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.36	-9	14	-23	17.3	14.6	2.74	14.1	17.9	-3.82
Jason Thompson	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	1	3	17.3	16.1	1.27	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Pooh Jeter	21	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	16.9	16.3	0.54	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Jermaine Taylor	4	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	5	-5	18.0	16.4	1.63	11.4	15.6	-4.22
Donte Greene	17	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.11	-9	14	-23	17.6	16.2	1.41	14.4	15.6	-1.23

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	53	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.39	11	-16	27	14.6	16.4	-1.82	17.3	15.3	1.95
Lamar Odom	56	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-16	27	14.6	16.6	-1.97	17.3	15.1	2.23
Shannon Brown	48	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-15	25	14.3	16.6	-2.31	16.8	16.0	0.81
Luke Walton	16	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	2	-9	15.1	15.5	-0.39	18.1	16.1	2.06
Kobe Bryant	75	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-7	9	15.5	15.1	0.39	16.1	18.1	-2.06
Andrew Bynum	53	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	4	-13	16.4	13.9	2.47	15.9	17.2	-1.23
Derek Fisher	38	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.03	-16	11	-27	16.4	14.6	1.82	15.3	17.3	-1.95
Metta World Peace	43	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	10	-25	16.6	14.3	2.31	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Pau Gasol	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	7	-19	15.2	16.1	-0.84	16.2	17.6	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIN 92, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.07,0,0	94.6%
HOU 100, OKC 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%