NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	6.1 [616]		MVP	Ed Davis (TOR): +15.7%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	1.6 [1270]		LVP	CJ Watson (CHI): -9.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.01	8	85%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.20	-0.02	0.03	14	74%	0.16	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	21	53%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	15	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	11	71%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	20	67%	0.28	4	-0.13	14	93%	0.06
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	11	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	19	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.6	26.0	15.7	25.4	1.8	40.2	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.3%

CHI +4.0%

CHI +27.9%

TOR -7.9%

CHI +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.5	119.1	125.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		104.7	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		99.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.2	13.3	16.0	14.8	15.3
CHI	16.3	16.0	16.0	19.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	6	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	11.2	15.6	-4.40	17.7	16.8	0.82
Julian Wright	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-5	3	11.2	15.6	-4.40	15.7	17.0	-1.29
James Johnson	44	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-5	3	14.6	15.9	-1.34	15.8	18.1	-2.33
Ed Davis	71	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-14	21	15.8	13.2	2.64	18.1	12.8	5.21
Sonny Weems	24	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	3	-13	17.1	14.6	2.48	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Jerryd Bayless	69	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-9	11	15.7	13.6	2.09	17.1	16.2	0.90
Reggie Evans	35	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	7	-21	16.9	14.2	2.76	16.1	17.4	-1.29
DeMar DeRozan	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-5	3	15.5	14.1	1.37	17.1	16.2	0.89
Amir Johnson	64	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	14.4	17.4	-2.96	16.7	17.5	-0.87
Leandro Barbosa	52	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	2	-11	14.2	16.8	-2.64	17.0	16.7	0.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	56	54	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-4	15	17.2	16.5	0.69	16.0	14.2	1.81
Derrick Rose	78	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	0	7	16.8	17.4	-0.60	15.6	13.1	2.53
Omer Asik	35	33	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.01	17	-10	27	16.1	17.4	-1.33	16.3	14.7	1.64
Luol Deng	71	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-6	19	15.6	21.6	-6.00	15.3	15.1	0.15
Ronnie Brewer	36	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-4	15	16.2	17.4	-1.18	16.3	14.6	1.71
Kyle Korver	26	25	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	0	7	18.8	16.1	2.63	14.5	15.6	-1.10
CJ Watson	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	11	-15	18.5	16.0	2.48	13.2	16.4	-3.15
Carlos Boozer	54	54	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.32	-9	16	-25	17.4	16.1	1.27	14.3	16.7	-2.38
Kurt Thomas	33	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.09	-9	16	-25	16.8	17.0	-0.18	15.2	15.3	-0.16
Keith Bogans	29	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	16	-25	17.3	16.7	0.61	15.3	15.3	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.98,1,1	93.6%
MIA 73, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
UTA 80, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	93.4%