NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	6.4 [570]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +23.1%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	1.5 [972]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -16.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	92%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.05	-0.01	14	62%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Laron Profit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	17	59%	0.11	4	-0.11	3	67%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Kwame Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	12	37%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	20	43%	-0.03	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.06	-0.02	15	79%	0.28	2	-0.05	3	100%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	14	71%	0.17	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	14	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	47%	0.02	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	21	44%	-0.04	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.3	26.1	15.7	24.4	2.6	32.5	123.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +33.6%

SAC +5.1%

SAC +2.6%

SAC +8.5%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.5	97.9	109.5	104.0
season	14.7	14.7		104.7	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	16.0	15.2	15.1	15.0
SAC	13.8	14.0	16.1	17.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	35	35	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-16	21	14.7	15.2	-0.53	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Brendan Haywood	51	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-13	15	14.3	15.8	-1.53	15.6	15.0	0.60
Laron Profit	13	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-9	7	15.5	14.9	0.60	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Anthony Peeler	19	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-9	7	14.8	15.1	-0.29	13.7	15.7	-1.96
Michael Ruffin	23	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-13	15	17.0	14.4	2.55	16.2	15.0	1.28
Gilbert Arenas	82	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	14.9	15.5	-0.60	15.3	15.1	0.18
Larry Hughes	82	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	14.9	15.5	-0.60	15.3	15.1	0.18
Antawn Jamison	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	0	-11	15.1	14.6	0.55	14.8	17.6	-2.79
Kwame Brown	42	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	3	-17	15.0	15.0	0.05	15.7	15.0	0.71
Jarvis Hayes	52	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.02	-17	6	-23	15.1	14.9	0.21	15.7	14.8	0.97

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	81	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-5	21	15.5	14.4	1.10	15.0	15.1	-0.06
Chris Webber	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-4	19	14.8	17.3	-2.46	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Doug Christie	84	83	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	1	9	15.3	15.5	-0.28	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Peja Stojakovic	87	86	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	2	7	15.1	17.9	-2.82	14.7	18.2	-3.54
Brad Miller	78	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	4	3	15.3	15.4	-0.14	14.9	15.5	-0.55
Bobby Jackson	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	9	-7	15.5	15.2	0.22	16.5	14.6	1.88
Greg Ostertag	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	12	-13	15.7	15.1	0.59	15.3	14.9	0.38
Darius Songaila	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	10	-9	18.7	15.0	3.77	19.1	14.6	4.48
Maurice Evans	14	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	15.8	15.2	0.58	15.8	14.9	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.99,1	93.6%
LAL 89, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%
UTA 80, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	93.0%