NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	6.9 [447]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (POR): +37.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	1.1 [908]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -20.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.37	0.20	0.16	-0.02	28	62%	0.37	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Brandon Roy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	17	53%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	21%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	0.01	13	32%	-0.13	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	0.00	9	82%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	19	62%	0.27	5	-0.11	7	86%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.03	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.06	0.00	6	46%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	8%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	18	48%	0.01	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	3.4	34.2	18.4	30.3	2.8	38.0	150.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +33.9%

OKC +17.2%

OKC +5.9%

POR -9.0%

OKC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	16.4	16.3	15.5	102.3	112.5	105.7
season	16.5	15.0		106.7	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.1	17.7	14.4	15.6	16.4
OKC	14.6	15.0	16.9	18.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	58	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-17	25	16.1	17.2	-1.10	17.4	14.4	3.00
Andre Miller	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-7	5	15.7	19.0	-3.26	17.6	11.9	5.61
Rudy Fernandez	34	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-5	1	17.9	15.5	2.44	15.0	17.1	-2.08
Brandon Roy	22	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	19.7	15.4	4.32	13.3	17.4	-4.06
Gerald Wallace	81	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-7	5	16.3	17.6	-1.23	16.8	9.5	7.28
Wesley Matthews	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	14.9	19.2	-4.31	16.4	16.1	0.25
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.23	-9	0	-9	16.4	16.4	0.02	16.4	14.9	1.55
Nicolas Batum	39	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.12	-23	14	-37	17.6	15.6	2.01	13.9	18.1	-4.11

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	58	58	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-2	13	17.0	14.9	2.10	15.1	19.0	-3.83
Russell Westbrook	61	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	0	9	16.4	15.9	0.52	16.0	17.4	-1.34
Kevin Durant	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	1	7	16.4	15.6	0.78	15.7	20.5	-4.81
Nick Collison	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	7	-5	16.2	16.4	-0.21	18.3	14.9	3.42
James Harden	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	4	1	16.4	16.2	0.26	17.6	15.4	2.23
Daequan Cook	26	25	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	-1	11	16.0	16.4	-0.46	18.0	15.8	2.12
Serge Ibaka	54	52	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	15.8	17.1	-1.31	15.5	17.8	-2.35
Eric Maynor	27	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	9	-9	15.9	16.4	-0.52	17.4	16.0	1.34
Thabo Sefolosha	35	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	12	-15	16.0	16.5	-0.42	14.9	17.5	-2.63
Nazr Mohammed	20	22	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.18	-1	10	-11	15.9	16.4	-0.43	19.8	15.3	4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	92.1%
CHI 106, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.42,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.69,0.9,1	91.8%