NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	106		Excitement	7.9 [254]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): +32.9%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	4.4 [187]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -40.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.14	0.19	-0.00	11	74%	0.33	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.28	0.09	0.19	0.00	16	61%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Carl Landry	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.04	16	53%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.04	0.04	0.02	10	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.10	-0.01	9	85%	0.28	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	8	74%	0.24	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.00	9	70%	0.19	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0,0,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	72%	0.26	3	-0.18	6	83%	0.05
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	14	56%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Garret Siler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.00	12	64%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37,-0.37,-0.4	-0.40	-0.19	-0.21	0.00	9	17%	-0.20	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	28.9	15.7	25.4	2.5	36.3	138.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +22.9%

PHX -14.6%

NOH +12.9%

NOH +29.2%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	15.5	116.5	108.7	105.7
season	16.2	14.5		104.6	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.9		109.0	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.8	17.9	16.8	15.8	16.8
PHX	13.2	12.9	16.0	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	39	38	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-1	8	16.1	17.4	-1.35	14.7	14.6	0.04
Chris Paul	70	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	1	4	16.9	16.6	0.27	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Jarrett Jack	49	50	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	0	6	17.1	16.5	0.65	15.0	14.2	0.78
Emeka Okafor	70	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	1	4	16.7	17.2	-0.54	14.3	15.8	-1.45
Trevor Ariza	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	4	-2	16.7	17.3	-0.61	14.6	14.8	-0.12
Carl Landry	58	58	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-2	10	17.3	16.0	1.25	15.3	13.6	1.75
Marco Belinelli	36	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	0	6	17.1	16.6	0.47	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Aaron Gray	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.02	1	5	-4	17.0	16.8	0.18	15.8	14.3	1.52
Quincy Pondexter	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	7	-8	18.6	16.7	1.97	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Jason Smith	10	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	11	-16	15.9	16.9	-1.04	12.0	15.0	-2.99
David Andersen	16	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.08	-4	10	-14	15.7	17.1	-1.30	14.1	14.8	-0.67

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	53	50	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-17	28	14.6	14.8	-0.23	17.4	16.1	1.37
Vince Carter	19	19	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-9	12	13.8	14.9	-1.03	16.3	17.0	-0.64
Aaron Brooks	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-2	-2	15.1	14.5	0.65	16.5	17.0	-0.48
Robin Lopez	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-1	-4	10.2	15.1	-4.92	15.6	17.0	-1.38
Garret Siler	2	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	9.5	14.8	-5.28	18.0	16.8	1.20
Josh Childress	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.4	0.90	16.8	16.8	-0.00
Steve Nash	67	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-6	6	14.5	15.2	-0.68	16.7	17.1	-0.35
Grant Hill	65	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-3	0	14.4	15.3	-0.90	16.8	16.8	0.00
Channing Frye	80	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	0	-6	14.8	13.8	0.95	16.6	18.4	-1.83
Hakim Warrick	40	41	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	2	-10	15.8	13.8	2.01	16.8	16.9	-0.08
Jared Dudley	68	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.35	-11	5	-16	14.9	14.0	0.84	17.2	15.7	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.34,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 78, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	92.5%
MIA 97, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.27,0	92.1%
SEA 87, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.31,0.09,0	91.7%