NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	2.9 [1217]		MVP	Chris Andersen (DEN): +6.8%
Denver Nuggets	114		Comeback	1.1 [1308]		LVP	Nick Young (WAS): -9.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	16	59%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	15	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	45%	-0.01	4	-0.03	9	100%	0.03
JaVale McGee	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	13	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	15	31%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.18	0.00	0.11	7	94%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	71%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.07	11	63%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	31%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	29.5	16.3	24.5	2.4	25.3	125.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +36.4%

DEN +0.5%

DEN +11.1%

WAS -0.7%

DEN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	15.5	100.0	122.6	105.7
season	15.1	14.3		100.9	110.7
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	16.9	17.3	16.2	16.4
DEN	12.2	15.0	16.2	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mustafa Shakur	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	14.7	16.5	-1.76	14.2	14.4	-0.11
Hamady Ndiaye	12	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-21	22	15.9	16.5	-0.60	15.6	14.1	1.52
Kevin Seraphin	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-11	2	15.3	16.7	-1.44	13.1	14.7	-1.57
Yi Jianlian	57	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-14	8	16.3	16.7	-0.44	14.4	14.4	-0.01
JaVale McGee	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-11	2	16.9	16.0	0.89	14.7	14.1	0.59
Maurice Evans	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-5	-10	17.0	16.0	0.91	14.9	13.9	0.94
Jordan Crawford	69	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-10	0	16.2	17.0	-0.77	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Trevor Booker	78	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	-6	-8	16.6	15.7	0.83	14.4	14.0	0.43
Nick Young	64	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	0	-20	16.5	16.4	0.05	14.3	14.6	-0.31
John Wall	81	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-2	-16	16.5	16.0	0.51	14.2	15.3	-1.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	62	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-7	34	13.8	15.5	-1.79	17.1	15.3	1.79
Raymond Felton	51	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.20	22	-2	24	13.9	14.9	-0.92	17.2	15.5	1.78
Chris Andersen	42	42	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.21	20	0	20	13.4	15.1	-1.73	16.6	16.3	0.37
Danilo Gallinari	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	10	0	14.1	14.9	-0.74	16.0	17.7	-1.74
Al Harrington	39	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	6	8	14.7	14.1	0.63	17.6	15.6	1.98
Nene	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	13	-6	14.0	14.7	-0.75	15.5	17.4	-1.85
Ty Lawson	68	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	12	-4	14.9	13.0	1.91	16.3	16.8	-0.46
Kenyon Martin	36	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	16	-12	15.6	13.6	2.05	17.4	15.7	1.70
Gary Forbes	31	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	27	-34	15.5	13.8	1.79	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Kosta Koufos	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	14.7	14.3	0.43	16.1	16.5	-0.32
Timofey Mozgov	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	24	-28	14.0	14.4	-0.42	13.1	17.0	-3.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 73, CHI 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
NYK 89, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DEN 71, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%