inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 96 Excitement5.9 [663] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +16.9%
Miami Heat 85 Comeback1.3 [355] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -21.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.120.04-0.002163%0.181-0.01475%0.01
Daequan Cook0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.00475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.03650%0.0400.00475%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Nick Collison0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.03-0.00540%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Harden0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.011244%0.062-0.06367%-0.01
Serge Ibaka-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01932%-0.0300.0010%-0.02
Eric Maynor-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01437%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.011030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.12-0.060.041645%-0.046-0.18887%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.002100%0.0800.002100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
James Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.000.04862%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.000.02333%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00125%-0.031-0.03250%-0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.011748%0.003-0.071090%0.04
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0110%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.040.032142%-0.071-0.033100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.040.022141%-0.042-0.06967%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.734.517.730.82.843.2156.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +44.1%
MIA -8.7%
OKC +12.6%
OKC +1.0%
OKC +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMIANBAOKCMIANBA
this game16.115.215.5105.591.4105.7
season15.016.0108.8109.0
opponent15.615.6102.3105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.917.516.715.216.1
MIA17.113.816.014.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison52490.53-0.030.570.1214-31715.616.7-1.1216.114.31.83
James Harden52540.410.090.310.1492716.715.31.4415.015.5-0.52
Russell Westbrook63660.380.120.270.061101116.115.90.2115.115.6-0.50
Nazr Mohammed28290.350.150.190.0892715.916.1-0.2117.014.52.51
Daequan Cook20190.290.210.070.0874314.416.5-2.0917.214.72.48
Kevin Durant75770.280.220.070.1456-116.713.43.2814.717.9-3.26
Serge Ibaka59610.140.36-0.220.0538-516.016.3-0.3214.516.6-2.12
Eric Maynor28270.120.38-0.270.12011-1115.916.1-0.2115.615.10.50
Thabo Sefolosha44450.050.45-0.40-0.0129-715.816.4-0.5914.915.6-0.72
Kendrick Perkins3438-0.040.54-0.590.10-516-2116.316.00.3014.915.5-0.62

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard16130.03-0.530.55-0.094-151916.515.01.5321.915.16.82
James Jones10-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-9718.015.22.790.016.1-16.08
Joel Anthony4141-0.05-0.450.40-0.195-162113.416.7-3.2618.514.14.43
Mario Chalmers4344-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-10915.315.20.1215.216.9-1.69
Jamaal Magloire1919-0.24-0.260.02-0.00-8-3-517.714.63.1413.216.8-3.69
Mike Miller3333-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-5-115.215.20.0116.815.71.07
Erick Dampier2726-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-8-3-517.314.42.9013.717.0-3.39
LeBron James7775-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.10-6-5-114.916.8-1.9016.314.91.38
Dwyane Wade8078-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.14-8-3-515.314.80.4515.718.3-2.60
Mike Bibby5148-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.13-10-1-915.015.6-0.6117.015.02.00
Chris Bosh7778-0.530.03-0.55-0.09-154-1915.016.5-1.5315.121.9-6.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 109, ATL 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,094.4%
ATL 95, NJN 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,094.1%
MIA 88, MIL 770.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.1%