NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	5.4 [708]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +10.2%
New Jersey Nets	85		Comeback	1.1 [594]		LVP	Khalid Reeves (NJN): -8.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.07	-0.06	19	55%	0.17	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Henry James	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	15	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.06
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Eldridge Recasner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Robert Werdann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	20	67%	0.18	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	19	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Lloyd Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	45%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	5	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	25.3	14.8	26.1	2.5	23.4	117.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +22.2%

ATL +10.2%

NJN -3.9%

ATL +20.2%

ATL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.6	105.6	96.6	104.4
season	16.4	15.4		105.3	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.0		106.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.1	14.3	14.7	17.9	16.0
NJN	17.1	16.4	16.6	15.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	79	78	0.62	-0.13	0.74	0.12	17	-7	24	16.1	14.7	1.40	16.6	14.7	1.93
Mookie Blaylock	84	82	0.50	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	0	10	16.0	15.0	1.02	16.2	18.8	-2.60
Eldridge Recasner	48	46	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	0	10	15.2	16.8	-1.51	16.3	16.5	-0.13
Henry James	58	56	0.36	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	1	8	16.4	15.2	1.14	17.4	14.6	2.85
Ivano Newbill	24	22	0.25	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	6	-2	14.0	16.7	-2.61	16.9	16.3	0.61
Dikembe Mutombo	77	76	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	11	-12	16.4	13.5	2.92	16.1	18.7	-2.61
Steven Smith	66	67	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	8	-6	16.6	14.2	2.38	16.0	17.7	-1.65
Jon Barry	7	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	11	-12	14.0	16.1	-2.12	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Darrin Hancock	7	7	0.02	0.47	-0.45	0.02	0	10	-10	12.6	16.2	-3.67	15.1	16.5	-1.38

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Werdann	1	1	0.09	-0.58	0.67	0.03	2	-12	14	19.0	16.4	2.62	12.0	16.0	-4.00
Ed O'Bannon	51	52	-0.15	-0.34	0.18	-0.18	1	-11	12	15.5	17.6	-2.09	16.5	15.3	1.20
Khalid Reeves	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-7	4	16.5	16.3	0.16	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Shawn Bradley	65	68	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-7	4	15.9	17.9	-1.98	16.6	13.8	2.83
Kendall Gill	79	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-8	6	16.2	18.1	-1.90	15.9	16.9	-1.04
Yinka Dare	22	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	17.8	15.9	1.88	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Tony Massenburg	37	38	-0.34	-0.15	-0.18	-0.02	-11	1	-12	17.6	15.5	2.09	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Lloyd Daniels	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	0	-10	16.4	16.4	-0.07	16.4	15.4	1.02
Kerry Kittles	84	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	16.4	16.7	-0.36	15.9	16.5	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 109, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.3%
MIN 121, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
OKC 96, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%