inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 106 Excitement3.9 [1084] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +16.1%
Houston Rockets 102 Comeback1.5 [668] LVPAaron Brooks (HOU): -17.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.160.110.070.031659%0.1600.005100%0.01
Peja Stojakovic0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.150.010.051285%0.122-0.012100%0.01
Shawn Marion0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.01-0.041258%0.091-0.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.00875%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.01869%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00650%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Jason Kidd0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01679%0.043-0.03250%-0.00
Jason Terry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.05739%-0.024-0.04475%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.0430%-0.013-0.0600%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.00862%0.0600.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.01575%0.081-0.02250%-0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.010.04978%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00856%0.0500.002100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01-0.010.080.010.102452%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.03944%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.000.031547%-0.011-0.02683%-0.01
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00217%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.001423%-0.131-0.05367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.529.616.423.11.034.4130.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +52.5%
HOU -0.5%
HOU -3.5%
DAL +0.5%
DAL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game15.116.415.5117.8109.7105.7
season15.715.2108.5109.5
opponent14.915.7107.5103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL18.513.613.315.315.1
HOU15.919.716.014.116.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Juan Barea45470.410.090.320.3231214.715.5-0.8016.216.6-0.40
Shawn Marion54540.390.110.280.2740416.013.72.3717.514.82.71
Dirk Nowitzki62670.340.160.170.166-2815.514.21.2716.216.8-0.56
Jason Kidd63660.330.170.150.156-2814.217.2-3.0515.817.6-1.78
Tyson Chandler46490.300.200.100.2131213.516.7-3.1615.817.0-1.12
Jason Terry55550.280.220.070.31-15-614.915.3-0.3716.016.9-0.85
Peja Stojakovic52540.240.26-0.030.066-2815.015.2-0.1616.715.90.72
Ian Mahinmi45440.200.30-0.100.29-37-1016.413.82.5817.015.81.12
DeShawn Stevenson28290.020.48-0.450.14-48-1216.014.71.2716.216.4-0.23

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Patterson32-0.12-0.380.270.03-51-621.016.24.797.015.3-8.27
Brad Miller1313-0.16-0.340.180.05-73-1018.816.02.7916.814.82.05
Luis Scola4542-0.20-0.300.100.04-84-1216.915.91.0115.215.00.15
Kyle Lowry7473-0.20-0.300.09-0.448-122016.017.9-1.9215.114.90.25
Chase Budinger1412-0.21-0.290.070.05-95-1418.516.02.5115.515.00.47
Jordan Hill4444-0.22-0.280.06-0.437-111816.016.7-0.6114.615.5-0.89
Courtney Lee3837-0.24-0.260.01-0.333-71015.716.8-1.1115.414.90.45
Kevin Martin5553-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.05-73-1016.815.71.1114.915.4-0.45
Shane Battier7775-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.477-111815.918.4-2.5014.915.9-1.01
Charles Hayes4846-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-95-1416.416.40.0215.514.60.89
Aaron Brooks5453-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.350-4415.916.9-1.0015.015.2-0.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 93, BOS 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.02,095.8%
MIA 107, ATL 730.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
GSW 118, UTA 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.02,0,095.2%