NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	4.4 [940]		MVP	CJ Watson (GSW): +17.1%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.7 [56]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -12.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.21	0.03	0.07	16	79%	0.24	4	-0.07	16	100%	0.03
Anthony Randolph	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.03	5	69%	0.11	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rob Kurz	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	14	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	72%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Kelenna Azubuike	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	16	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	0%	-0.04
Ronny Turiaf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	11	37%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	18	61%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	56%	0.07	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.06	13	65%	0.08	4	-0.09	14	86%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	0.07	11	42%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	28.3	16.5	31.4	1.7	37.0	142.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +60.2%

UTA -0.5%

UTA -3.1%

UTA -7.0%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	13.8	15.5	119.2	110.2	106.4
season	13.8	15.3		107.3	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.8	14.4	16.9	19.3	15.4
UTA	14.4	14.4	13.8	12.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	59	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-2	14	15.9	14.6	1.37	14.3	13.2	1.08
Rob Kurz	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-1	12	16.1	13.2	2.94	14.1	12.9	1.27
Kelenna Azubuike	83	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-1	12	14.8	18.4	-3.56	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Ronny Turiaf	58	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	1	8	16.0	14.6	1.42	14.4	13.1	1.21
Andris Biedrins	66	65	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	9	-8	15.8	14.7	1.09	13.5	14.5	-1.07
CJ Watson	82	81	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	8	-6	15.3	15.8	-0.45	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Anthony Morrow	73	75	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	14.1	18.9	-4.79	13.7	14.4	-0.72

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-10	10	13.3	14.0	-0.72	11.6	16.6	-4.98
Matt Harpring	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-8	6	14.1	13.8	0.34	17.2	15.0	2.17
Ronnie Brewer	56	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	14.0	13.6	0.46	13.8	17.6	-3.82
Brevin Knight	22	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-1	-8	13.5	13.9	-0.43	10.6	16.5	-5.96
Carlos Boozer	69	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-6	2	13.0	15.8	-2.83	14.5	17.6	-3.09
Kyle Korver	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-9	8	13.7	14.0	-0.29	16.8	13.7	3.08
Deron Williams	76	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-9	8	13.9	13.5	0.43	16.5	10.6	5.96
Mehmet Okur	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	13.8	13.9	-0.12	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Paul Millsap	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	14.9	12.4	2.51	16.6	13.8	2.79
Andrei Kirilenko	43	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	1	-12	13.9	13.8	0.17	17.1	14.0	3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 112, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
DET 121, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
PHI 98, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%