NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	121		Excitement	3.3 [1148]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +14.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	2.1 [786]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (MIL): -8.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	18	65%	0.15	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	13	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	13	66%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	65%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	16	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lynn Greer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	12	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.5	15.7	24.7	2.0	25.4	121.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.4%

DET +5.2%

DET +4.1%

DET +4.3%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.4	15.4	131.5	102.2	104.5
season	16.8	15.2		106.1	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.2	13.7	19.3	17.2	16.7
MIL	13.5	14.5	16.7	13.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	52	51	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.30	28	-2	30	15.2	18.7	-3.48	13.7	15.4	-1.71
Antonio McDyess	53	54	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.26	26	0	26	16.2	17.3	-1.09	14.2	14.8	-0.65
Jason Maxiell	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	6	14	17.1	15.6	1.52	15.4	11.8	3.60
Tayshaun Prince	70	70	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.15	17	9	8	17.4	14.6	2.72	14.5	14.2	0.30
Chauncey Billups	70	72	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.16	15	11	4	17.1	15.4	1.71	14.6	13.8	0.88
Lindsey Hunter	26	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	15	-4	14.5	17.6	-3.02	12.6	15.2	-2.59
Ronald Murray	55	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	19	-12	18.1	14.6	3.53	15.4	12.9	2.49
Nazr Mohammed	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	12.7	17.0	-4.32	11.0	14.7	-3.72
Dale Davis	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	12.7	17.0	-4.32	11.0	14.7	-3.72
Ronald Dupree	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	12.7	17.0	-4.32	11.0	14.7	-3.72
Chris Webber	47	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	26	-26	18.0	15.3	2.73	15.1	13.7	1.43

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lynn Greer	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	13.0	14.7	-1.70	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Damir Markota	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	13.0	14.7	-1.70	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Ersan Ilyasova	62	61	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-26	26	14.7	13.9	0.85	17.5	15.1	2.48
Jared Reiner	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.23	-9	-17	8	14.9	14.4	0.51	16.5	16.7	-0.29
Mo Williams	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-21	16	14.4	14.4	0.01	17.0	16.3	0.73
Charlie Bell	58	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-17	8	15.1	13.3	1.81	17.3	15.8	1.49
Earl Boykins	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.34	-21	-5	-16	14.4	14.4	-0.01	16.3	17.0	-0.73
David Noel	41	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.32	-21	-5	-16	13.6	15.1	-1.53	15.6	17.6	-1.93
Brian Skinner	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-6	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.06	17.2	15.5	1.68
Michael Redd	73	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.12	-20	-6	-14	14.7	13.6	1.01	17.0	15.7	1.35
Ruben Patterson	34	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	-5	-16	14.4	14.5	-0.05	14.6	17.9	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, DET 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
WAS 120, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIA 107, ATL 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%