NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	103		Excitement	4.5 [954]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +19.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.4 [616]		LVP	Ben Gordon (DET): -8.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.04	-0.10	16	52%	0.20	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	8	81%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	10	71%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	7	37%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	13	38%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Austin Daye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	41%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	19	51%	0.10	3	-0.09	5	60%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	12	64%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.06	11	67%	0.05	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.8	14.8	25.0	2.0	31.0	130.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +5.2%

DET +10.0%

DET +12.9%

DET +19.0%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	18.4	13.4	15.5	114.4	103.3	105.7
season	16.7	15.1		106.4	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.2		110.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	20.6	18.1	16.4	18.8	18.4
CLE	13.7	13.2	15.7	11.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	57	59	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.16	18	-9	27	18.4	18.5	-0.19	12.5	15.2	-2.66
Will Bynum	51	51	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-2	13	17.9	19.1	-1.16	12.6	14.5	-1.87
Austin Daye	45	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-1	11	17.3	19.5	-2.22	12.1	14.9	-2.80
Chris Wilcox	36	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	1	7	18.2	18.6	-0.38	13.3	13.5	-0.16
Tayshaun Prince	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	9	-9	19.2	16.9	2.23	13.4	13.5	-0.16
Charlie Villanueva	36	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	2	5	18.2	18.6	-0.38	13.1	13.6	-0.51
Greg Monroe	54	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	8	-7	18.6	18.2	0.38	13.5	13.3	0.16
Ben Wallace	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	8	-7	18.8	18.2	0.61	15.5	12.0	3.51
Ben Gordon	39	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	11	-13	19.1	17.9	1.16	14.5	12.6	1.87
Tracy McGrady	33	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	18	-27	18.5	18.4	0.19	15.2	12.5	2.66

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	57	57	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-20	31	13.4	13.4	-0.02	18.7	17.9	0.81
Manny Harris	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-6	3	15.2	13.2	1.99	15.0	18.8	-3.85
Christian Eyenga	50	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-7	5	15.1	11.3	3.80	17.4	19.7	-2.32
JJ Hickson	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-15	21	13.4	13.5	-0.09	18.5	18.2	0.34
Jamario Moon	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	2	-13	13.2	13.5	-0.38	18.1	18.6	-0.49
Ryan Hollins	20	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	6	-21	13.5	13.4	0.09	18.2	18.5	-0.34
Antawn Jamison	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	13.2	15.2	-1.99	18.8	15.0	3.85
Ramon Sessions	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	13.2	15.2	-1.99	18.8	15.0	3.85
Daniel Gibson	60	58	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.17	-19	10	-29	12.4	15.3	-2.87	18.6	18.1	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
NOP 106, BKN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
GSW 121, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0,0,0	94.4%