NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	106		Excitement	4.9 [848]		MVP	Tim Frazier (NOP): +15.3%
Brooklyn Nets	87		Comeback	1.9 [299]		LVP	Shane Larkin (BKN): -11.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Frazier	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.04	0.02	11	73%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.03	15	64%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
James Ennis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	54%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	9	80%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	11	56%	0.12	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Jordan Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.03	11	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	75%	0.11	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	7	75%	0.12	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCullough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	9	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	9	33%	-0.07
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	12	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	26.4	14.8	29.7	2.0	26.3	125.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +48.8%

NOP +6.3%

BKN -24.7%

NOP +17.9%

NOP +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BKN	NBA	NOP	BKN	NBA
this game	13.7	17.2	14.9	114.0	93.5	105.1
season	14.3	15.0		104.3	101.9
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.7	14.0	15.3	14.1	13.7
BKN	17.8	17.9	16.7	16.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Frazier	74	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.17	30	-11	41	13.4	15.2	-1.81	16.8	19.1	-2.33
James Ennis	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	0	19	13.6	14.0	-0.42	17.2	17.2	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	28	30	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	12	-5	13.6	13.8	-0.11	16.7	17.5	-0.76
Alexis Ajinca	57	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	2	15	13.9	13.4	0.45	17.1	17.5	-0.47
Dante Cunningham	63	62	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.15	13	6	7	13.3	14.5	-1.15	17.6	16.6	0.95
Jordan Hamilton	62	63	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	10	-1	14.8	11.5	3.31	17.4	16.9	0.46
Luke Babbitt	63	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	15	-11	14.1	12.9	1.26	17.2	17.3	-0.09
Toney Douglas	54	53	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	18	-17	13.1	14.6	-1.50	17.4	17.0	0.35
Omer Asik	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	24	-29	12.7	13.8	-1.06	20.5	16.9	3.56

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	34	33	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.16	12	-31	43	18.4	16.6	1.74	15.5	12.7	2.73
Wayne Ellington	50	49	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-25	31	17.8	16.7	1.11	14.8	12.5	2.27
Thomas Robinson	52	52	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-20	21	17.4	17.1	0.27	14.1	13.2	0.85
Henry Sims	56	58	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-21	23	16.7	18.1	-1.34	14.3	12.7	1.61
Shane Larkin	64	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-17	15	17.3	17.1	0.16	13.7	13.8	-0.06
Markel Brown	37	37	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	1	-21	16.0	18.1	-2.12	14.1	13.5	0.55
Willie Reed	37	35	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.09	-21	2	-23	18.1	16.7	1.34	12.7	14.3	-1.61
Chris McCullough	41	41	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	1	-21	17.1	17.4	-0.27	13.2	14.1	-0.85
Sergey Karasev	41	42	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.19	-26	7	-33	16.9	17.5	-0.57	12.5	14.7	-2.18
Sean Kilpatrick	53	54	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.10	-27	8	-35	17.1	17.4	-0.27	12.4	15.6	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 131, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
DET 103, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
UTA 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%