NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	10.9 [27]		MVP	Luis Scola (HOU): +24.0%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	4.8 [447]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -53.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	14	63%	0.20	3	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	5	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.10	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Xavier Henry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	8	35%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Marc Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.01	-0.14	0.02	15	53%	-0.04	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Rudy Gay	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25	-0.05	-0.18	0.02	19	41%	-0.10	2	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	-0.54	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.39,-0.54	-0.20	-0.33	0.01	16	17%	-0.42	2	-0.12	3	67%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.23	0.00	16	47%	0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	10	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.1,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.08	-0.15	0.02	21	54%	-0.01	2	-0.08	15	100%	0.10
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	9	45%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.06
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	0.01	8	31%	-0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	30.9	15.0	27.1	2.4	35.2	2.6	12.3	149.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +54.9%

MEM -11.9%

HOU +19.4%

MEM -11.2%

MEM -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.5	95.9	96.9	105.7
season	15.5	15.2		106.1	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.5	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	15.7	16.1	15.2	18.7	20.8	16.8
HOU	17.0	14.5	15.4	15.6	19.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Arthur	40	40	0.35	-0.85	1.21	-0.17	18	-20	38	15.9	17.3	-1.37	16.9	15.1	1.83
Tony Allen	30	31	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.07	8	-10	18	16.6	16.8	-0.17	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Greivis Vasquez	34	35	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-8	14	16.4	16.9	-0.48	16.6	15.5	1.10
Xavier Henry	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	0	-2	17.6	16.7	0.89	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Marc Gasol	71	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	7	-16	16.3	17.9	-1.55	15.8	16.2	-0.45
Mike Conley	79	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	4	-10	16.2	19.1	-2.90	15.2	18.6	-3.43
Sam Young	56	55	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.61	-2	0	-2	17.4	15.9	1.43	16.1	15.5	0.63
Rudy Gay	87	89	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.40	-10	8	-18	17.0	14.9	2.07	16.2	12.6	3.65
Zach Randolph	83	83	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.48	-13	11	-24	17.5	12.4	5.14	15.4	18.2	-2.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	81	81	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.47	15	-13	28	15.2	19.1	-3.93	17.4	13.6	3.75
Kyle Lowry	72	71	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.45	14	-12	26	15.5	17.0	-1.49	17.1	15.9	1.13
Kevin Martin	76	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.47	7	-5	12	15.5	17.1	-1.64	16.9	16.1	0.86
Shane Battier	84	83	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	-2	6	16.5	12.4	4.10	17.0	15.5	1.46
Luis Scola	78	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-2	6	15.3	17.9	-2.55	16.9	16.2	0.67
Brad Miller	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	4	-6	17.9	15.3	2.55	16.2	16.9	-0.67
Chase Budinger	14	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	4	-6	12.4	16.5	-4.10	15.5	17.0	-1.46
Courtney Lee	22	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	7	-12	17.1	15.5	1.64	16.1	16.9	-0.86
Aaron Brooks	26	26	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	14	-26	17.0	15.5	1.49	15.9	17.1	-1.13
Patrick Patterson	17	16	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.03	-13	15	-28	19.1	15.2	3.93	13.6	17.4	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.76,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, TOR 117	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.95,1	89.9%
ATL 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.44,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.99,1	89.6%
NOP 106, TOR 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.14,0.16,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.85,1	89.6%