NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	78		Excitement	7.5 [336]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +10.8%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	1.1 [871]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -16.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.02	20	50%	0.17	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.09
Boris Diaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.11	-0.03	3	50%	0.07	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	16	48%	-0.05	4	-0.11	10	70%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	7	39%	-0.06	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.06	-0.06	13	45%	0.16	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.05
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.07	-0.00	17	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	18	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	0.01	-0.02	9	11%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	10	65%	0.03	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.2	15.8	23.8	1.8	34.2	129.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.2%

CHA -1.8%

UTA +38.3%

UTA +4.8%

CHA -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	UTA	NBA	CHA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.8	15.5	88.6	93.3	105.7
season	16.2	15.9		102.3	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	18.4	13.3	15.8	15.7
UTA	13.9	15.2	17.2	22.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	48	49	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.27	17	-22	39	15.5	15.9	-0.47	18.3	15.1	3.17
Dominic McGuire	4	5	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-6	7	12.2	15.9	-3.61	18.4	16.7	1.65
Gerald Wallace	71	73	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-12	19	15.8	15.1	0.79	16.6	17.8	-1.18
Nazr Mohammed	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-4	3	15.1	15.8	-0.69	17.1	16.8	0.35
D.J. Augustin	69	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-10	15	15.1	17.7	-2.54	16.8	17.1	-0.34
Gerald Henderson	29	28	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	5	-15	15.2	15.9	-0.73	16.4	17.0	-0.60
Shaun Livingston	19	18	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	5	-15	17.7	15.1	2.54	17.1	16.8	0.34
Boris Diaw	64	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	0	-5	14.5	18.9	-4.37	17.1	16.1	0.98
Stephen Jackson	76	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	2	-9	15.7	15.4	0.32	17.2	14.6	2.61
Kwame Brown	44	44	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.02	-22	17	-39	18.2	13.2	4.98	14.6	19.0	-4.45

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	33	36	1.10	-0.60	1.69	0.33	26	-21	47	16.4	17.1	-0.76	17.6	14.4	3.20
CJ Miles	50	49	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	2	1	17.8	15.7	2.09	15.2	16.3	-1.01
Andrei Kirilenko	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	17.3	14.5	2.78	16.3	12.6	3.71
Francisco Elson	8	8	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-3	11	23.5	16.2	7.31	17.1	15.5	1.57
Paul Millsap	78	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	4	-3	17.4	13.1	4.28	16.0	13.3	2.77
Raja Bell	56	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	0	5	15.1	19.8	-4.63	15.1	16.6	-1.51
Jeremy Evans	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	1	3	13.1	17.4	-4.28	13.3	16.0	-2.77
Al Jefferson	69	69	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	8	-11	16.3	18.6	-2.33	15.7	15.6	0.08
Kyrylo Fesenko	10	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	16.7	16.9	-0.16	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Ronnie Price	56	52	-0.60	1.10	-1.69	0.02	-21	26	-47	17.1	16.4	0.76	14.4	17.6	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.7,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.57,0.72,1	92.1%
NJN 89, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.73,1	91.6%
NYK 88, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.94,1,1	91.4%