NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	88		Excitement	8.8 [144]		MVP	Landry Fields (NYK): +30.9%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	6.5 [139]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -17.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0,0.11	-0.13	0.23	-0.01	24	40%	0.19	4	-0.08	12	83%	0.07
Joel Anthony	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.07	0.01	9	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	4	54%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Carlos Arroyo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,-0.03,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	0.03	-0.22	-0.01	22	59%	-0.03	6	-0.15	14	43%	-0.16

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.18	-0.03	11	73%	0.37	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.29,0.23	0.23	0.00	0.24	0.01	15	50%	0.32	2	-0.09	10	70%	-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.07	0.02	17	63%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	11	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	0.01	6	37%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	14	25%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.8	33.2	19.7	28.2	3.4	39.3	155.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +18.3%

NYK +16.5%

NYK +8.8%

NYK +2.1%

NYK +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	14.7	15.5	89.8	97.9	105.7
season	16.0	14.3		109.0	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		108.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.3	13.1	15.2	16.0	15.1
NYK	15.0	15.8	14.7	13.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	18	16	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-11	17	10.7	16.1	-5.45	15.6	14.5	1.08
Eddie House	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-5	5	19.2	14.8	4.32	18.4	14.5	3.88
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	1	-7	18.9	14.8	4.10	12.3	15.0	-2.64
Carlos Arroyo	26	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	1	-7	14.6	15.3	-0.68	14.8	14.7	0.06
James Jones	63	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-7	9	15.2	15.0	0.13	14.6	14.9	-0.23
LeBron James	84	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-10	15	15.3	14.0	1.30	15.0	12.8	2.27
Juwan Howard	14	13	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	5	-15	14.0	15.3	-1.30	12.8	15.0	-2.27
Mike Miller	45	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	3	-11	14.5	15.7	-1.19	14.0	15.3	-1.26
Mario Chalmers	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-6	7	15.3	14.6	0.68	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Joel Anthony	71	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-2	-1	16.0	12.8	3.22	15.2	13.6	1.64
Dwyane Wade	83	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.42	-6	1	-7	15.0	15.9	-0.89	14.6	15.4	-0.79

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	80	81	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.37	14	-9	23	14.6	15.5	-0.88	15.3	14.4	0.85
Shawne Williams	54	58	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.38	12	-7	19	14.3	15.3	-1.08	14.5	16.0	-1.58
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-6	17	14.7	14.7	0.02	16.0	12.3	3.73
Danilo Gallinari	61	61	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	3	-1	15.0	14.3	0.72	15.7	14.2	1.53
Raymond Felton	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	6	-7	14.8	14.5	0.24	15.5	13.9	1.58
Henry Walker	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	3	-1	15.3	14.7	0.64	7.5	16.0	-8.48
Wilson Chandler	57	59	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	8	-11	14.2	15.4	-1.20	16.6	12.9	3.72
Toney Douglas	41	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.12	-2	7	-9	14.8	14.7	0.10	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Ronny Turiaf	25	27	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.02	-10	15	-25	16.2	14.2	1.95	12.7	16.0	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.54,0.72,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	92.1%
DET 97, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.83,0.91,1	91.8%
GSW 108, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.57,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.68,0.63,0.77,0.91,1	91.6%