NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	5.4 [770]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +17.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	81		Comeback	1.5 [476]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): -15.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	0.01	12	69%	0.28	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.03
Darrell Arthur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	10	67%	0.13	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04
O.J. Mayo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	79%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	11	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	22	48%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	14	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.06	-0.06	12	19%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	26.5	15.7	24.6	1.7	33.3	127.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +53.8%

MEM +7.7%

MEM +12.7%

MIL -24.3%

MEM +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIL	NBA	MEM	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.5	103.3	92.0	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		106.1	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.7	14.6	16.4	15.7	15.6
MIL	17.0	16.8	17.1	15.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	74	73	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-2	17	15.8	14.6	1.16	16.9	15.3	1.53
Marc Gasol	63	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-8	29	15.9	15.0	0.91	16.5	16.8	-0.31
Mike Conley	72	70	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-6	25	15.8	14.7	1.15	16.3	17.6	-1.27
Zach Randolph	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	2	9	16.1	14.5	1.63	16.0	18.1	-2.12
Sam Young	46	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	8	-3	16.9	14.2	2.67	16.3	16.9	-0.63
Darrell Arthur	45	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	11	-9	14.3	16.8	-2.49	17.8	15.5	2.30
O.J. Mayo	50	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	10	-7	14.2	17.3	-3.18	16.4	16.9	-0.48
Tony Allen	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	10	-7	15.2	15.7	-0.49	17.1	16.5	0.56
Greivis Vasquez	19	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	19	-25	14.7	15.8	-1.15	17.6	16.3	1.27
Hasheem Thabeet	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	21	-29	16.3	15.5	0.77	16.0	16.7	-0.69

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	13	12	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.17	12	-25	37	16.4	16.6	-0.26	17.4	15.3	2.10
Luc Mbah a Moute	17	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-13	13	17.2	16.5	0.78	13.6	16.1	-2.47
Chris Douglas-Roberts	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-10	7	17.2	16.3	0.95	15.2	15.8	-0.57
Ersan Ilyasova	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	16.4	16.7	-0.30	16.3	15.1	1.16
Carlos Delfino	61	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	16.4	17.0	-0.63	14.5	18.3	-3.84
Larry Sanders	49	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-7	1	16.7	16.4	0.30	15.1	16.3	-1.16
Corey Maggette	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-7	1	16.2	17.8	-1.52	16.1	14.2	1.84
Keyon Dooling	41	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	17.3	16.0	1.25	16.9	14.5	2.40
Earl Boykins	66	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-2	-9	16.5	17.0	-0.59	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Andrew Bogut	58	61	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.01	-25	12	-37	16.5	16.9	-0.40	15.8	15.1	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.09,0,0	94.0%
SAS 103, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.01,0,0	94.0%
SAS 113, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.7%