NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	9.9 [64]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +37.4%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	4.6 [387]		LVP	Jeff Foster (IND): -26.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.10	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.03,-0.18,0.1	-0.03	0.12	-0.01	11	56%	0.33	4	-0.22	3	100%	0.05
Paul George	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	4	67%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Danny Granger	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	19	70%	0.43	7	-0.38	8	75%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.11	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	8	17%	-0.18	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.37	0.37	0.10	0.28	0.00	28	61%	0.53	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	4	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	10	48%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	17	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	66%	0.12	4	-0.09	10	70%	-0.07
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	27.1	14.8	26.8	1.8	35.8	132.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.4%

IND -32.8%

IND -20.1%

GSW +63.4%

IND -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	14.2	15.5	104.9	108.9	105.7
season	14.7	14.8		103.1	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	16.0	13.2	14.7	14.0
GSW	13.6	12.8	14.5	16.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	35	32	0.58	-1.08	1.65	-0.01	20	-22	42	13.1	14.5	-1.44	15.0	13.8	1.22
Mike Dunleavy	60	61	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.27	17	-19	36	14.1	14.0	0.15	15.0	13.0	1.98
Paul George	27	25	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.31	14	-16	30	12.8	14.5	-1.71	14.6	14.1	0.53
Jeff Foster	63	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-13	24	13.7	14.5	-0.84	14.7	13.4	1.36
Tyler Hansbrough	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	10	-22	14.2	13.8	0.39	13.2	15.3	-2.04
Josh McRoberts	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	11	-24	14.5	13.7	0.84	13.4	14.7	-1.36
Danny Granger	91	88	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	5	-12	14.0	14.0	0.04	14.2	13.9	0.32
Brandon Rush	77	76	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.43	-18	16	-34	14.3	13.3	1.03	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Darren Collison	68	69	-1.08	0.58	-1.65	-0.43	-22	20	-42	14.5	13.1	1.44	13.8	15.0	-1.22

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	68	70	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.41	17	-15	32	14.2	14.2	0.02	13.9	14.3	-0.34
David Lee	77	77	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.47	12	-10	22	14.2	14.2	-0.01	13.9	14.4	-0.46
Monta Ellis	93	94	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-9	20	14.2	14.4	-0.19	14.1	13.9	0.16
Reggie Williams	19	21	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.51	1	1	0	14.1	14.2	-0.18	14.9	13.8	1.03
Dorell Wright	90	93	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	7	-12	14.2	13.8	0.43	13.6	18.4	-4.83
Andris Biedrins	52	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	-6	14	14.5	13.8	0.70	13.0	15.2	-2.18
Brandan Wright	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	1	0	15.5	13.8	1.65	15.6	13.6	2.01
Ekpe Udoh	12	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	0	2	9.2	14.9	-5.71	18.7	13.4	5.33
Lou Amundson	10	10	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	11	-20	14.3	14.2	0.11	13.7	14.1	-0.38
Vladimir Radmanovic	27	28	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.01	-14	16	-30	14.6	14.0	0.59	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Acie Law	33	33	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.00	-14	16	-30	14.2	14.2	-0.02	14.3	13.9	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.23,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.57,0.73,1	91.2%
DEN 116, MIA 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.54,0.45,0.83,1	89.8%
MIL 95, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.29,0.23,0.58,1	89.6%