NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	7.2 [382]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +19.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	3.8 [728]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -18.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.03,0.03	0.14	-0.08	0.03	19	70%	0.24	4	-0.20	8	100%	0.06
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.1,-0.12	-0.01	-0.13	-0.02	14	46%	0.03	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	10	36%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	10	20%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	15	70%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	18	56%	0.20	2	-0.15	12	75%	-0.07
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	0.04	-0.18	0.03	14	59%	-0.04	2	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	28.3	14.6	26.8	1.8	40.0	137.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +0.1%

POR +2.1%

POR +42.1%

POR +6.1%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	17.8	16.3	15.5	106.0	112.9	105.7
season	16.4	16.5		101.6	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.5	17.3	19.4	17.0	17.8
POR	16.8	17.0	14.9	16.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	19	18	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-9	11	18.4	17.7	0.69	20.4	15.1	5.31
Quinton Ross	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	18.0	17.8	0.17	12.0	16.4	-4.36
Stephen Graham	38	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	17.2	18.4	-1.23	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Kris Humphries	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-11	15	18.0	17.5	0.45	16.8	15.2	1.65
Jordan Farmar	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	1	-9	16.1	19.4	-3.21	16.2	16.3	-0.17
Derrick Favors	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	0	-7	19.7	17.1	2.56	17.7	15.7	2.03
Sasha Vujacic	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-6	5	17.6	18.3	-0.64	15.4	18.2	-2.84
Travis Outlaw	57	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-5	3	18.5	16.5	1.94	16.5	15.6	0.93
Brook Lopez	65	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	2	-11	17.7	18.4	-0.69	15.1	20.4	-5.31
Devin Harris	61	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	1	-9	18.1	17.1	1.03	16.1	16.7	-0.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	63	61	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-4	15	17.6	12.4	5.19	18.6	15.8	2.76
Andre Miller	64	63	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-5	17	15.5	18.4	-2.88	17.8	18.0	-0.22
Wesley Matthews	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-4	15	14.8	23.1	-8.35	17.5	19.5	-2.07
Marcus Camby	57	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	4	-1	18.0	12.7	5.23	18.8	15.7	3.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	-1	9	15.8	18.4	-2.61	17.9	17.4	0.49
Dante Cunningham	34	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	7	-7	14.7	17.3	-2.54	16.4	18.7	-2.34
Joel Przybilla	10	11	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	15.0	16.4	-1.43	16.4	18.1	-1.69
Patty Mills	21	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	12	-17	18.4	15.5	2.88	18.0	17.8	0.22
Rudy Fernandez	37	38	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.08	-7	14	-21	16.8	15.9	0.88	17.3	18.3	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.36,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.95,1	90.8%
LAC 103, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.85,1	90.1%
DAL 99, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.47,0.37,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.83,1	89.9%