NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	7.4 [361]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CHI): +21.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	96		Comeback	2.9 [491]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -29.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.00	2	129%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	12	76%	0.23	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0.13,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	15	68%	0.25	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
CJ Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.29	-0.09	-0.20	-0.00	17	41%	-0.16	4	-0.14	7	100%	0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	-0.00	12	67%	0.22	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.01	0.16	-0.01	14	52%	0.25	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.14	0.14	-0.05	0.17	-0.02	17	40%	0.18	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.3	33.2	14.8	28.2	2.5	37.5	144.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +19.9%

CHI -2.8%

CHA +1.6%

CHA +26.7%

CHA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	17.7	15.5	100.0	107.9	105.7
season	15.7	16.2		106.5	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		106.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	13.8	13.0	15.0	14.4
CHA	16.2	18.3	19.4	16.9	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	30	31	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-11	17	14.5	14.3	0.12	17.3	17.8	-0.51
CJ Watson	22	22	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-8	11	15.3	14.1	1.23	18.2	17.5	0.70
Keith Bogans	29	27	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-4	3	13.3	14.9	-1.63	18.3	17.4	0.98
Taj Gibson	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-8	11	14.5	14.3	0.14	17.4	17.8	-0.46
Omer Asik	11	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	2	-9	15.2	14.3	0.91	13.2	18.2	-5.02
Kurt Thomas	64	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.7	1.02	18.0	16.8	1.25
Ronnie Brewer	61	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-3	1	15.0	13.2	1.82	17.9	17.1	0.83
Carlos Boozer	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	0	-5	14.0	15.2	-1.21	17.8	17.3	0.49
Derrick Rose	69	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.31	-8	3	-11	14.1	15.3	-1.23	17.5	18.2	-0.70
Luol Deng	71	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	5	-15	14.2	15.1	-0.92	17.6	17.8	-0.14

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	62	62	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.30	18	-13	31	17.0	19.2	-2.25	15.0	13.1	1.83
D.J. Augustin	72	75	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-6	17	17.3	19.3	-2.03	14.2	15.4	-1.20
Gerald Wallace	76	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	17.4	19.2	-1.76	14.5	13.9	0.54
Stephen Jackson	79	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-4	13	17.4	19.7	-2.31	14.5	13.7	0.80
Tyrus Thomas	55	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.48	-7	12	-19	17.8	17.4	0.48	13.7	15.5	-1.83
Kwame Brown	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	-3	11	17.2	18.0	-0.78	15.4	13.6	1.81
Matt Carroll	12	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	7	-9	20.9	17.1	3.77	13.2	14.6	-1.35
Dominic McGuire	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	19.0	17.5	1.54	14.1	14.4	-0.32
Shaun Livingston	19	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	11	-17	19.0	17.3	1.71	15.0	14.2	0.78
Gerald Henderson	19	20	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.03	-10	15	-25	19.6	17.1	2.52	12.9	14.8	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.65,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 109, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.58,1	91.1%
NYK 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1	90.5%
MIA 93, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.74,1	90.3%