NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	133		Excitement	9.1 [101]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +37.5%
Washington Wizards	136		Comeback	2.1 [806]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -37.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.32	0.20	0.15	0.03	17	67%	0.32	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Carl Landry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.05	0.00	13	74%	0.26	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Pooh Jeter	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15	0.00	0.17	0.02	9	44%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	4	78%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	73%	0.04	1	0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.06	0.17	-0.08	0.02	13	84%	0.29	3	-0.23	5	100%	0.04
Jermaine Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.01	15	47%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.38	-0.24	-0.17	-0.03	19	23%	-0.27	3	-0.11	6	33%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.29	0.11	0.02	22	81%	0.43	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.19	-0.01	9	67%	0.37	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.03	11	67%	0.14	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	5	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	38%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.11	-0.17	0.04	19	46%	-0.17	6	-0.15	10	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	24.8	15.8	29.5	1.8	48.0	2.5	20.0	169.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.9%

SAC -16.2%

WAS +31.7%

SAC -5.5%

WAS +12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	13.4	13.7	15.5	113.7	115.3	105.7
season	14.9	15.1		102.1	100.9
opponent	15.2	14.9		108.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	16.0	13.0	15.0	10.5	12.4	13.4
WAS	12.8	16.5	12.7	12.3	16.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine Taylor	19	21	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.01	9	-12	21	8.8	14.2	-5.46	9.8	14.5	-4.74
Pooh Jeter	50	54	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.19	13	-16	29	10.9	15.2	-4.36	13.1	14.2	-1.16
Omri Casspi	82	83	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.39	17	-20	37	11.9	16.8	-4.95	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Donte Greene	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	3	-9	12.7	13.4	-0.77	13.7	13.7	-0.04
Samuel Dalembert	33	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-1	-1	11.3	14.2	-2.86	14.1	13.5	0.54
Luther Head	24	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	15	-33	18.5	12.0	6.47	12.6	14.0	-1.41
DeMarcus Cousins	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	3	-9	14.5	10.8	3.69	14.0	13.1	0.84
Jason Thompson	24	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	18	-39	18.8	12.0	6.83	12.0	14.1	-2.19
Francisco Garcia	86	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	5	-13	14.0	11.6	2.33	13.3	14.7	-1.44
Carl Landry	84	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.82	11	-14	25	12.7	15.0	-2.33	15.7	9.1	6.61
Beno Udrih	92	92	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-4	5	13.8	11.6	2.24	13.8	13.4	0.36

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	92	90	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.37	19	-16	35	13.6	13.9	-0.28	14.4	9.9	4.51
Rashard Lewis	100	101	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.31	20	-17	37	13.4	15.5	-2.12	13.6	12.1	1.43
John Wall	96	96	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-13	29	13.2	16.0	-2.77	13.7	11.6	2.18
Andray Blatche	60	62	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.06	21	-18	39	13.0	14.4	-1.46	15.2	11.2	4.01
Nick Young	101	101	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	1	1	13.4	15.6	-2.27	13.5	12.6	0.92
Cartier Martin	7	5	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	3	-3	14.7	13.6	1.07	9.4	13.5	-4.14
Kirk Hinrich	58	56	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.50	-17	20	-37	14.5	12.9	1.60	11.8	14.8	-3.05
Trevor Booker	4	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	5	-7	14.0	13.7	0.31	14.3	13.3	1.00
Kevin Seraphin	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	7	-11	18.6	13.2	5.35	13.8	13.3	0.51
Hilton Armstrong	9	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	7	-11	16.4	13.5	2.97	9.4	13.7	-4.28
Yi Jianlian	22	21	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	12	-21	16.0	13.2	2.82	11.1	13.9	-2.76
Al Thornton	31	31	-0.72	1.22	-1.93	0.08	-27	30	-57	13.2	13.9	-0.69	10.1	14.5	-4.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.63,0.68,0.86,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.94,1,0.54,0.45,0.78,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	87.3%
MIL 126, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.54,0.39,0.64,0.83,0.59,1	87.2%
SAC 110, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.78,0.99,1	87.1%