NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	8.1 [234]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +36.1%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	1.8 [675]		LVP	George Hill (SAS): -18.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	77%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	12	75%	0.33	4	-0.23	8	87%	0.08
Richard Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.12	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.01	15	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.06
DeJuan Blair	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	7	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	9	16%	-0.11	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.44,0.36	0.36	0.23	0.16	0.03	16	84%	0.40	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	0.00	4	75%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	18	56%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	10	82%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.11	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	29.5	15.8	23.5	1.7	40.4	134.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +91.1%

SAS -32.5%

BOS +0.4%

SAS -1.7%

SAS -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BOS	NBA	SAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.5	112.0	112.9	105.7
season	15.5	15.7		109.3	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		99.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.0	15.4	17.0	13.5	15.4
BOS	16.0	16.6	15.1	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	56	54	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.36	13	-15	28	15.8	14.8	0.97	17.4	13.3	4.09
George Hill	64	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-9	16	14.8	16.8	-2.01	16.4	14.3	2.08
DeJuan Blair	21	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	4	-10	16.9	15.0	1.86	16.0	15.6	0.33
Antonio McDyess	26	29	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-4	6	14.6	15.8	-1.18	16.2	15.5	0.72
Tony Parker	65	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-4	6	15.0	16.3	-1.29	15.3	16.9	-1.63
Richard Jefferson	61	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	1	-4	14.7	16.8	-2.04	15.4	16.3	-0.92
Gary Neal	38	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	7	-16	17.2	14.2	3.04	15.4	15.9	-0.57
Tim Duncan	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	4	-10	15.5	15.3	0.12	15.0	17.2	-2.20
Manu Ginobili	66	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	8	-18	15.5	15.2	0.32	15.0	17.6	-2.59

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	68	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-10	22	15.0	17.8	-2.80	15.5	15.3	0.14
Rajon Rondo	83	84	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-7	16	15.6	16.9	-1.33	15.6	13.7	1.83
Glen Davis	64	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-5	12	15.6	15.9	-0.22	15.8	14.6	1.12
Ray Allen	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-5	12	15.4	17.1	-1.74	15.3	15.9	-0.55
Shaquille O'Neal	39	37	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	-5	12	15.8	15.6	0.15	16.4	14.7	1.69
Marquis Daniels	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.39	-11	13	-24	15.7	15.7	0.03	13.8	16.3	-2.47
Nate Robinson	33	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	4	-6	15.5	15.8	-0.30	15.5	15.4	0.05
Von Wafer	18	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	17.1	15.4	1.74	15.9	15.3	0.55
Luke Harangody	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	18.8	15.4	3.40	13.7	15.6	-1.83
Jermaine O'Neal	43	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	11	-20	16.7	14.9	1.84	15.2	15.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.76,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.66,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	92.1%
LAC 87, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.86,1,1	91.3%
POR 82, NOH 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.55,0.95,1	91.0%