NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	6.7 [493]		MVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): +41.1%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	35.6 [25]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -17.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.04	0.00	8	111%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.01	10	59%	0.15	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Grant Hill	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Josh Childress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.10	0.04	-0.03	7	14%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	0.00	-0.10	-0.01	17	50%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	12	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.41	0.41	0.11	0.29	-0.01	7	87%	0.43	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.11	0.05	17	70%	0.29	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	6	33%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	12	23%	-0.09	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	32.2	15.8	26.3	1.0	32.2	135.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +10.6%

SAC +17.5%

SAC +33.1%

PHX -9.1%

PHX -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.5	97.8	102.2	105.7
season	14.5	14.9		108.0	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.7	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.3	15.3	16.0	16.9	15.1
SAC	19.0	15.3	15.3	15.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	37	36	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.15	5	-10	15	14.7	15.4	-0.69	18.1	15.3	2.79
Channing Frye	36	39	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.14	0	-5	5	13.3	16.3	-2.99	16.2	16.5	-0.36
Robin Lopez	25	26	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-9	13	14.2	15.5	-1.31	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Josh Childress	18	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	0	-5	13.4	15.5	-2.08	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Goran Dragic	22	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.21	-13	8	-21	14.6	15.3	-0.68	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Steve Nash	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.56	8	-13	21	15.3	14.6	0.68	16.5	15.8	0.71
Mickael Pietrus	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.57	7	-12	19	15.1	15.2	-0.07	16.6	15.8	0.77
Marcin Gortat	66	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	4	-13	15.5	14.2	1.31	16.8	15.3	1.45
Grant Hill	55	54	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.50	-5	0	-5	16.3	13.3	2.99	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Vince Carter	61	62	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.37	-17	12	-29	15.9	13.6	2.30	15.5	18.1	-2.58

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	63	64	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.22	26	-21	47	17.0	14.9	2.08	15.6	14.0	1.58
Pooh Jeter	22	22	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.43	13	-8	21	15.9	16.5	-0.65	16.9	14.6	2.31
Carl Landry	66	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-5	15	15.6	18.2	-2.61	15.6	14.0	1.63
Omri Casspi	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-4	13	16.4	16.2	0.17	16.0	13.3	2.64
Francisco Garcia	77	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-2	9	16.1	17.9	-1.88	15.4	13.8	1.57
Donte Greene	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	4	-3	19.1	16.1	3.01	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Samuel Dalembert	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.10	-9	14	-23	18.6	16.1	2.48	11.1	15.5	-4.37
Beno Udrih	32	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	11	-17	16.2	16.5	-0.31	13.3	16.0	-2.76
Tyreke Evans	75	75	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.14	-9	14	-23	16.6	15.3	1.31	14.4	18.4	-4.04
Jason Thompson	47	46	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.02	-17	22	-39	16.1	16.6	-0.47	14.5	15.8	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 95, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.42,1	92.4%
DET 77, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	92.1%
LAC 70, DEN 72	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.26,1	92.0%