NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	85		Excitement	4.9 [879]		MVP	Tony Allen (MEM): +4.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	3.0 [704]		LVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): -15.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	16	69%	0.13	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	53%	0.09	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.06
Ed Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	59%	0.02	3	-0.08	5	0%	-0.07
Jerryd Bayless	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	15	35%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	13	68%	0.12	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	60%	0.11	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	13	56%	0.10	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	32.1	16.4	23.5	2.5	33.6	135.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +4.6%

MEM +21.7%

MEM +0.5%

MEM +23.4%

TOR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MEM	NBA	TOR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.5	89.5	99.0	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		104.7	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.7	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.6	15.5	17.5	13.9	15.8
MEM	13.4	12.8	15.2	15.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	9.0	16.0	-6.98	19.3	14.0	5.31
Joey Dorsey	58	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-12	13	16.6	14.6	2.07	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Julian Wright	1	1	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-7	3	20.0	15.8	4.21	20.0	14.1	5.87
Jerryd Bayless	30	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-6	1	17.6	15.0	2.54	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Leandro Barbosa	54	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	15.5	16.3	-0.81	14.2	14.2	0.03
Amir Johnson	57	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	16.5	14.9	1.61	14.1	14.3	-0.13
Ed Davis	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	0	-11	15.3	16.4	-1.13	13.7	14.6	-0.86
Jose Calderon	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	15.1	18.4	-3.30	14.5	13.1	1.38
Linas Kleiza	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	15.6	17.0	-1.42	14.5	12.9	1.63
DeMar DeRozan	74	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-2	-7	15.8	16.0	-0.28	14.0	14.8	-0.74

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	80	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.11	19	-8	27	14.3	13.8	0.51	16.0	14.9	1.07
Zach Randolph	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-6	23	14.0	14.9	-0.94	15.6	16.6	-1.04
Tony Allen	69	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-2	15	14.7	12.8	1.92	15.9	15.7	0.13
Mike Conley	80	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-1	13	14.6	12.4	2.15	15.2	18.5	-3.29
Darrell Arthur	42	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	7	-3	13.6	14.6	-1.00	17.0	15.0	2.03
Marc Gasol	61	60	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	13	-15	14.4	13.8	0.60	16.4	14.8	1.68
O.J. Mayo	53	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	12	-13	14.3	14.0	0.26	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Hamed Haddadi	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	9.0	14.2	-5.24	9.0	15.9	-6.90
Greivis Vasquez	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	12	-13	11.1	14.6	-3.54	16.9	15.7	1.24
Sam Young	12	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	17	-23	13.1	14.3	-1.26	14.6	16.0	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 106, PHX 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 101, SAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%