NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	4.9 [821]		MVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): +12.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	3.0 [741]		LVP	Darko Milicic (MEM): -13.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	14	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Kyle Lowry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	14	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	17	54%	0.04	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	11%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	9	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.00	0.02	17	68%	0.15	3	-0.05	10	90%	0.04
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	8	52%	0.01	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	13	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.0	32.1	15.5	33.5	2.4	28.5	135.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +25.2%

LAC +3.7%

LAC +10.1%

LAC +1.9%

LAC +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.4	90.5	106.4	105.7
season	14.9	15.6		103.3	99.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.1	16.5	14.2	16.9	15.6
LAC	14.9	13.5	14.1	17.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javaris Crittenton	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-13	12	13.2	16.4	-3.24	16.2	14.4	1.72
Kyle Lowry	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-9	4	13.9	16.5	-2.59	15.6	14.5	1.11
Darko Milicic	41	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-13	12	16.4	15.0	1.45	13.3	16.0	-2.67
Rudy Gay	73	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-11	8	16.1	14.0	2.07	15.7	11.9	3.79
Brian Cardinal	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	14.5	16.5	-2.00	14.5	15.2	-0.61
Mike Conley	63	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-5	-4	16.5	13.9	2.59	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Jason Collins	47	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	15.2	16.0	-0.75	15.5	14.3	1.17
Juan Carlos Navarro	74	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	16.2	13.5	2.65	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Hakim Warrick	79	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	2	-18	15.7	14.9	0.78	14.4	16.9	-2.44

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	56	55	0.68	-0.18	0.85	-0.20	30	-16	46	14.5	15.5	-0.99	16.5	14.3	2.23
Corey Maggette	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-9	32	14.6	15.6	-0.94	16.4	13.1	3.30
Cuttino Mobley	78	78	0.58	-0.09	0.67	-0.06	22	-8	30	14.9	14.8	0.08	15.4	16.4	-0.93
Al Thornton	46	49	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	2	10	14.8	14.9	-0.11	16.9	14.2	2.79
Tim Thomas	55	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	5	4	14.8	14.9	-0.11	14.3	17.2	-2.91
Aaron Williams	22	23	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	6	2	14.4	15.0	-0.62	13.4	16.3	-2.84
Josh Powell	8	6	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	10	-6	13.7	15.0	-1.24	16.3	15.5	0.79
Chris Kaman	54	56	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	18	-22	14.9	14.9	0.01	16.7	14.0	2.70
Dan Dickau	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	22	-30	17.2	14.6	2.59	13.3	15.9	-2.56
Sam Cassell	28	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	22	-30	14.9	14.9	-0.04	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Quinton Ross	43	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.33	-18	32	-50	15.8	14.1	1.72	14.2	16.8	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, SAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 86, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 85, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.6%