NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	4.6 [935]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +14.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	105		Comeback	1.1 [921]		LVP	Ben Gordon (DET): -12.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.22	0.01	0.08	14	89%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.07	0.05	7	75%	0.11	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.06	12	65%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	6	35%	-0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Will Bynum	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	11	27%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	16	52%	-0.07	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.08	-0.05	9	58%	0.12	6	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.03	0.25	-0.08	0.14	15	82%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	17	64%	0.13	9	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	6	21%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	24.3	15.5	23.2	2.4	34.6	125.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +45.5%

DET -8.1%

CHA +28.5%

DET -16.9%

CHA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.5	104.2	109.4	105.7
season	16.7	16.2		106.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.5	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	15.3	18.9	12.3	15.2
CHA	15.0	13.0	13.9	17.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	40	38	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.42	15	-20	35	13.5	16.5	-2.91	16.7	13.5	3.20
Austin Daye	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-6	7	12.4	15.7	-3.30	14.3	14.8	-0.54
Ben Wallace	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-5	5	16.7	14.5	2.25	13.6	15.3	-1.69
Ben Gordon	71	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.43	11	-16	27	15.2	15.3	-0.04	15.4	13.0	2.40
Tayshaun Prince	59	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-8	11	15.3	15.2	0.01	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Charlie Villanueva	59	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-12	19	15.2	15.3	-0.03	15.6	13.3	2.30
Greg Monroe	28	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	1	-7	15.8	15.0	0.81	14.9	14.7	0.14
Chris Wilcox	46	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-12	19	14.4	16.1	-1.69	15.7	13.9	1.77
Tracy McGrady	22	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	15	-35	16.2	15.0	1.27	12.8	15.4	-2.53
Jason Maxiell	12	13	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.14	-19	14	-33	17.4	14.9	2.48	10.6	15.4	-4.78
Richard Hamilton	50	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	0	-5	13.8	16.8	-3.07	15.0	14.5	0.56
Rodney Stuckey	47	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	14	-33	17.6	13.0	4.64	13.7	15.8	-2.17

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	47	47	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-6	17	14.3	15.2	-0.97	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Shaun Livingston	26	26	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-12	29	12.5	15.6	-3.14	15.8	15.0	0.76
Matt Carroll	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-7	19	14.8	14.7	0.02	15.7	15.0	0.72
Stephen Jackson	79	79	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.44	-5	10	-15	15.2	12.8	2.34	15.1	15.9	-0.77
DeSagana Diop	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	0	5	14.5	15.0	-0.50	14.2	16.3	-2.12
Derrick Brown	17	17	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-5	15	12.8	15.2	-2.34	15.9	15.1	0.77
Gerald Henderson	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.40	-7	12	-19	14.7	14.8	-0.02	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Boris Diaw	61	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	12	-19	15.7	13.0	2.71	15.0	15.8	-0.82
D.J. Augustin	70	70	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.46	-12	17	-29	15.6	12.5	3.14	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Nazr Mohammed	36	37	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	4	-3	14.1	15.2	-1.11	17.8	13.6	4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
POR 97, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.5%
HOU 83, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%