NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	83		Excitement	3.1 [1134]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +11.7%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.1 [943]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -7.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.01	0.06	17	62%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Steve Francis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	13	37%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	62%	-0.01	4	-0.06	12	67%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	11	84%	0.13	3	-0.04	9	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	18	54%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	29.2	17.5	29.2	0.7	32.7	134.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.3%

DET +9.6%

HOU -1.1%

DET +1.5%

DET +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	16.3	17.8	15.5	97.6	114.3	101.6
season	16.3	16.8		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		97.8	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.4	17.2	15.6	14.8	16.3
DET	15.4	16.3	18.7	21.2	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juaquin Hawkins	2	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-7	1	21.0	16.2	4.84	13.7	18.0	-4.31
Kelvin Cato	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-4	-5	17.6	16.0	1.59	16.2	18.1	-1.88
Eddie Griffin	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-8	3	17.0	15.7	1.35	17.1	18.5	-1.43
Yao Ming	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-14	15	15.7	18.2	-2.43	18.0	17.4	0.59
Moochie Norris	16	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	2	-17	18.8	15.7	3.13	17.1	18.0	-0.86
James Posey	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	17.3	14.6	2.64	17.0	19.3	-2.33
Maurice Taylor	46	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	15.7	17.0	-1.35	18.5	17.1	1.43
Glen Rice	38	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-3	-7	15.4	17.0	-1.63	19.4	16.6	2.78
Steve Francis	73	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-12	11	15.9	18.7	-2.79	18.1	16.3	1.74
Cuttino Mobley	79	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-9	5	16.0	19.8	-3.83	17.9	17.0	0.90

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	69	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	1	11	17.8	17.9	-0.06	16.1	17.2	-1.04
Jon Barry	40	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	6	1	18.0	17.7	0.34	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Mehmet Okur	37	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	4	5	16.9	18.5	-1.61	16.0	16.5	-0.52
Corliss Williamson	43	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	3	7	17.9	17.7	0.18	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Chauncey Billups	73	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	9	-5	17.7	18.9	-1.25	15.8	19.2	-3.34
Clifford Robinson	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	7	-1	18.7	15.5	3.25	16.5	15.7	0.84
Richard Hamilton	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	5	3	17.5	18.5	-1.00	16.9	15.2	1.69
Hubert Davis	11	11	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.09	9	4	5	18.9	17.7	1.25	19.2	15.8	3.34
Michael Curry	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	13	-13	17.4	18.1	-0.64	17.5	15.4	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 71, HOU 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MIL 71, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 91, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%