NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	2.8 [1170]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +9.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	1.2 [824]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -4.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	58%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.06	17	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	9	65%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	11	57%	-0.00	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	11	45%	0.00	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	71%	0.10	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	25	53%	0.03	0	0.00	27	48%	-0.06
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	52%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	10	36%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.5	30.4	0.5	47.5	2.6	52.5	160.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.3%

POR -3.7%

LAL +6.1%

LAL +14.6%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.0	15.2	102.2	113.5	101.7
season	15.9	15.3		105.9	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		98.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.4	17.7	16.8	15.5	16.7
LAL	18.6	13.8	14.6	10.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	15	15	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-21	27	16.1	16.9	-0.72	15.3	13.7	1.63
Rasheed Wallace	27	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-12	9	17.9	16.3	1.63	18.1	12.2	5.89
Bonzi Wells	40	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-16	17	15.8	17.5	-1.66	13.3	14.4	-1.08
Damon Stoudamire	53	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.18	-14	-1	-13	18.0	15.1	2.93	15.5	11.9	3.67
Scottie Pippen	79	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-12	9	17.0	15.2	1.76	13.9	14.1	-0.13
Greg Anthony	19	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	16.1	16.9	-0.80	12.2	14.5	-2.25
Arvydas Sabonis	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-1	-13	17.4	16.2	1.22	13.9	14.0	-0.10
Brian Grant	40	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	-2	-11	15.7	17.5	-1.79	11.8	15.9	-4.06
Detlef Schrempf	47	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-2	-11	15.6	17.9	-2.29	10.8	17.2	-6.38
Steven Smith	78	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-2	-11	16.7	17.1	-0.39	13.9	14.1	-0.22

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	93	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.11	22	-7	29	14.0	12.3	1.68	17.1	8.7	8.35
Kobe Bryant	76	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	-4	23	14.0	13.7	0.33	16.6	17.3	-0.74
Brian Shaw	37	35	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	1	13	14.2	13.8	0.33	17.1	16.5	0.56
Robert Horry	53	50	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	3	9	11.3	17.3	-5.97	16.1	17.5	-1.40
Rick Fox	31	30	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	1	13	15.1	13.4	1.73	17.3	16.5	0.83
Glen Rice	74	71	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	13	-11	13.7	14.9	-1.23	16.4	18.0	-1.57
Ron Harper	60	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	16	-17	13.4	14.9	-1.49	16.4	17.2	-0.79
Derek Fisher	19	17	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	17	-19	15.1	13.7	1.36	17.6	16.5	1.11
A.C. Green	34	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	13	-11	17.7	11.9	5.76	18.0	16.1	1.92
Travis Knight	3	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	22	-29	12.3	14.0	-1.68	8.7	17.1	-8.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ORL 82, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
TOR 60, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%