inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 101 Excitement3.8 [1109] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +13.1%
Orlando Magic 123 Comeback1.6 [738] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -6.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.01677%0.0900.001100%0.00
Tony Parker0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.011262%0.072-0.03250%-0.01
Gary Neal0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.011155%0.032-0.02771%-0.01
Tim Duncan0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.001248%0.021-0.0210%-0.02
DeJuan Blair0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.061138%0.011-0.01450%-0.01
Ime Udoka-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.06569%0.001-0.01683%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.021145%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02825%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.070,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.001042%-0.012-0.05475%-0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.190.020.071376%0.183-0.051258%-0.05
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.190.010.118106%0.0900.0000%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.030.02-0.091450%0.133-0.0500%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.01487%0.081-0.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.041454%0.0710.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02-0.02853%0.071-0.00367%-0.01
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.051171%0.072-0.05250%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.001055%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.827.718.827.82.031.0135.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +56.9%
SAS -0.4%
SAS -7.2%
ORL +0.7%
ORL +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASORLNBASASORLNBA
this game15.913.715.5104.1125.5105.7
season15.515.2109.3106.3
opponent16.215.2101.1103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.519.615.913.815.9
ORL13.212.512.916.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ime Udoka3635-0.09-0.410.310.11-7-15814.516.6-2.1115.812.53.23
Tim Duncan4142-0.10-0.400.29-0.07-1-212015.516.1-0.5913.314.0-0.67
Tiago Splitter3736-0.12-0.380.260.05-6-161014.416.8-2.3914.313.40.92
DeJuan Blair4649-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-161014.517.1-2.5814.313.01.31
Chris Quinn4647-0.20-0.300.090.12-11-11015.316.3-1.0114.512.91.57
Antonio McDyess1516-0.27-0.23-0.050.11-13-9-420.415.05.3812.214.0-1.80
Manu Ginobili3942-0.29-0.21-0.090.03-11-11016.715.31.4012.914.3-1.34
Tony Parker5151-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-11-11016.315.31.0112.914.5-1.57
Matt Bonner4847-0.30-0.20-0.110.17-16-6-1016.615.11.5613.214.1-0.88
Richard Jefferson6262-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-12216.215.30.9413.314.4-1.05
Gary Neal6463-0.36-0.14-0.230.16-18-4-1416.215.30.8813.613.9-0.34

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas58570.57-0.070.64-0.052112012.815.0-2.1617.313.83.41
Hedo Turkoglu53520.460.040.42-0.2424-22614.213.11.0816.914.62.30
Brandon Bass70710.340.160.17-0.021210213.913.10.8715.417.2-1.77
Dwight Howard62630.320.180.14-0.151661014.212.81.4516.714.32.36
Jason Richardson65640.260.240.02-0.061111013.314.5-1.1916.315.01.25
Ryan Anderson50460.260.240.01-0.041012-212.714.7-1.9515.516.2-0.64
JJ Redick55530.250.25-0.01-0.051012-212.515.2-2.6615.716.0-0.31
Quentin Richardson20210.030.47-0.440.03022-2215.713.22.5812.116.9-4.74
Jameer Nelson41420.020.48-0.46-0.04220-1815.312.62.7115.416.2-0.80
Chris Duhon880.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1814.113.70.4712.016.2-4.20
Earl Clark880.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1814.113.70.4712.016.2-4.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 73, MEM 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
DEN 82, SAS 1120.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
LAL 105, SAC 1240.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%