NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	3.7 [1094]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +10.5%
Sacramento Kings	124		Comeback	1.3 [1029]		LVP	Devean George (LAL): -7.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.05	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	52%	0.02	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	65%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	17	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	5	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Devean George	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.04	13	77%	0.16	5	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.01	0.07	14	78%	0.10	1	-0.00	13	92%	0.03
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	15	43%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	0.06	9	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.0	26.6	16.7	32.1	3.4	27.7	136.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.7%

SAC +4.8%

SAC +23.9%

LAL -5.2%

LAL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	15.5	107.1	125.3	104.0
season	15.7	14.7		105.8	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.6	18.6	13.7	15.1	15.1
SAC	14.1	13.5	13.0	16.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-22	25	12.9	15.9	-3.02	15.1	13.7	1.40
Slava Medvedenko	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-25	31	12.3	16.3	-3.98	14.8	13.9	0.89
Brian Cook	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-24	29	14.7	15.2	-0.48	12.8	14.4	-1.66
Luke Walton	25	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-19	19	16.1	14.8	1.30	16.1	13.4	2.64
Tierre Brown	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-13	7	16.6	14.3	2.28	16.2	13.0	3.24
Devean George	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-11	3	18.1	14.6	3.57	14.8	14.0	0.79
Vlade Divac	37	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-7	-5	16.0	14.6	1.38	14.4	14.0	0.37
Jumaine Jones	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-6	-7	15.2	15.0	0.23	14.2	14.1	0.19
Brian Grant	55	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-3	-13	15.2	15.0	0.28	13.7	14.7	-0.97
Caron Butler	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.04	-13	-6	-7	14.4	17.1	-2.70	13.4	16.4	-3.04
Chucky Atkins	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-6	-7	14.3	16.6	-2.28	13.0	16.2	-3.24
Kobe Bryant	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.31	-28	9	-37	16.3	11.9	4.39	13.9	14.6	-0.69

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	4	11	13.2	15.8	-2.60	14.1	16.7	-2.56
Cuttino Mobley	60	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	4	11	14.1	14.2	-0.08	14.1	16.7	-2.65
Mike Bibby	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	8	3	13.4	15.2	-1.77	15.1	15.1	0.06
Darius Songaila	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	8	3	14.4	13.9	0.47	16.6	13.7	2.85
Brian Skinner	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	11	-3	13.2	15.4	-2.19	14.2	16.4	-2.13
Kenny Thomas	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	12	-5	14.7	12.7	2.01	14.1	17.8	-3.67
Greg Ostertag	13	13	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	9	1	13.5	14.2	-0.68	19.8	14.4	5.37
Eddie House	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	11	-3	15.2	13.4	1.77	15.1	15.1	-0.06
Kevin Martin	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	15	-11	14.2	14.1	0.08	16.7	14.1	2.65
Maurice Evans	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.01	4	15	-11	15.8	13.2	2.60	16.7	14.1	2.56
Erik Daniels	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	15.4	14.0	1.40	13.5	15.2	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAS 101, ORL 123	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NOK 73, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%