NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	73		Excitement	3.3 [1149]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (MEM): +15.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	1.3 [1020]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOK): -15.4%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	5	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.05
Brandon Bass	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Macijauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	-0.09	12	22%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.03	0.05	13	81%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	13	64%	0.14	2	-0.01	19	79%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	45%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	31.3	16.0	22.1	1.8	28.4	126.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.9%

MEM +9.1%

MEM +0.6%

MEM +6.4%

MEM +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	MEM	NBA	NOK	MEM	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.6	84.9	102.3	104.4
season	16.3	17.1		101.2	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		100.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.3	17.0	16.9	17.2	16.9
MEM	15.0	15.7	18.1	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Macijauskas	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-16	16	19.5	16.4	3.05	19.2	16.0	3.18
Brandon Bass	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-13	10	22.0	16.3	5.65	18.9	16.2	2.70
Jackson Vroman	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-17	18	16.4	17.0	-0.61	16.6	16.3	0.28
Kirk Snyder	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-13	10	16.8	16.9	-0.13	16.7	16.4	0.30
Rasual Butler	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-14	12	17.3	16.5	0.79	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Chris Andersen	34	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-14	12	17.0	16.8	0.21	15.2	17.3	-2.00
Speedy Claxton	43	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-12	8	18.2	15.6	2.63	16.3	16.5	-0.19
J.R. Smith	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-4	-8	15.6	18.2	-2.63	16.5	16.3	0.19
Desmond Mason	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-2	-12	16.5	17.3	-0.79	16.7	16.1	0.61
David West	53	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.02	-12	-4	-8	16.3	17.8	-1.49	16.3	16.7	-0.46
Chris Paul	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-3	-10	16.4	17.9	-1.55	15.8	17.7	-1.89
P.J. Brown	52	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	0	-16	16.8	17.0	-0.21	17.0	15.7	1.29

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	1	14	17.0	14.1	2.87	16.9	16.7	0.15
Shane Battier	60	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.20	20	-4	24	16.7	15.9	0.78	17.4	15.5	1.96
Pau Gasol	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	4	8	16.2	17.5	-1.26	16.8	17.0	-0.15
Eddie Jones	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	3	10	16.9	15.8	1.06	16.8	16.9	-0.11
Damon Stoudamire	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	1	14	17.1	15.0	2.12	17.2	16.1	1.06
Bobby Jackson	38	35	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	12	-8	16.2	16.6	-0.47	16.9	16.8	0.07
Hakim Warrick	22	22	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	13	-10	15.8	16.6	-0.81	17.0	16.8	0.17
Antonio Burks	27	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	15	-14	15.0	17.1	-2.12	16.1	17.2	-1.06
Mike Miller	33	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	17	-18	15.2	17.2	-1.95	16.4	17.1	-0.76
Dahntay Jones	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	18.0	16.4	1.59	6.0	17.0	-11.00
Lawrence Roberts	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	18.0	16.4	1.59	6.0	17.0	-11.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 80, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
SAS 101, ORL 123	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DEN 82, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%