NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	121		Excitement	7.8 [293]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +43.9%
Golden State Warriors	112		Comeback	2.5 [488]		LVP	Dorell Wright (GSW): -23.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.25	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.15	0.08	14	73%	0.30	2	-0.05	13	100%	0.04
Shane Battier	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.11	0.04	7	87%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	90%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	-0.00	8	71%	0.16	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.07	0.00	5	42%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	6	65%	0.09	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.06
Jordan Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	21	43%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.32	0.16	0.04	20	81%	0.58	3	-0.14	14	79%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	11	76%	0.25	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	39%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.08	0.03	13	32%	-0.17	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	26.4	15.0	29.2	2.6	37.2	136.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.4%

HOU +2.4%

HOU +15.6%

GSW -6.2%

HOU +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	13.7	15.5	123.5	115.5	105.7
season	15.2	14.8		109.5	106.6
opponent	15.2	14.9		109.0	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.7	13.6	17.2	15.2	15.8
GSW	13.7	13.1	14.8	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	61	61	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.35	20	-11	31	14.9	17.2	-2.30	13.0	15.1	-2.13
Luis Scola	70	72	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.27	20	-11	31	15.2	17.2	-2.05	12.9	16.3	-3.42
Kevin Martin	67	68	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.32	17	-8	25	15.5	16.4	-0.83	13.2	14.9	-1.65
Kyle Lowry	76	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	2	5	15.7	16.0	-0.22	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Courtney Lee	49	47	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	15.6	15.9	-0.31	14.1	13.4	0.62
Charles Hayes	47	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	1	7	15.7	15.8	-0.12	13.0	14.5	-1.54
Chase Budinger	23	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	13	-17	16.0	15.7	0.28	14.6	13.5	1.10
Jordan Hill	36	34	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.06	-9	18	-27	17.1	15.0	2.14	15.3	12.9	2.39
Aaron Brooks	33	33	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.17	-6	15	-21	16.7	15.3	1.42	15.5	12.8	2.64
Brad Miller	28	25	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.04	-11	20	-31	17.2	15.2	2.05	16.3	12.9	3.42

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	47	46	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.03	9	-18	27	15.2	12.4	2.81	16.9	14.8	2.12
Jeremy Lin	19	19	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-14	19	16.0	13.2	2.81	16.6	15.6	0.98
Rodney Carney	23	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-8	7	12.4	14.2	-1.77	12.7	16.7	-3.94
Vladimir Radmanovic	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-14	19	14.9	13.2	1.71	17.1	15.2	1.90
Reggie Williams	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-1	-7	13.3	14.4	-1.08	16.3	15.2	1.07
Acie Law	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-9	9	14.5	12.4	2.14	15.8	15.7	0.16
Lou Amundson	38	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	7	-23	12.5	14.5	-2.00	14.2	16.8	-2.66
Monta Ellis	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	13.5	15.7	-2.24	15.7	16.2	-0.43
David Lee	64	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.37	-9	0	-9	13.2	14.8	-1.68	16.1	15.0	1.15
Dorell Wright	60	62	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.30	-22	13	-35	13.2	14.6	-1.47	15.3	16.6	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.05,0,0	92.3%
MIL 99, CHA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.31,0.37,0.09,0.02,0	91.8%
UTA 112, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.22,0.1,0.04,0	91.4%